◎ Trump’s demands for structural economic change in China, if actually implemented by Beijing, could finally bring accompanying political reforms.
◎ Various signs indicate that the Hong Kong government could go ahead with a large-scale crackdown on the anti-extradition bill protests.
◎ The CCP, the Hong Kong government, and the Hong Kong police are “pouring oil on fire” by ramping up violent tactics and disinformation operations to suppress the Hong Kong anti-extradition bill protests.
◎ A closer examination of recent developments suggests dim prospects for the “phase one” trade deal and future Sino-U.S. trade agreements.
◎ The Trump administration should exploit communist China’s greatest vulnerability.
◎ Based on our observation, the CCP is again preparing to shift strategies in Hong Kong as it pursues short, medium, and long-term agendas.
◎ The outcome of the Fourth Plenum suggests that it unfolded as we previously analyzed.
◎ There are things the Czechs themselves still can do to teach China that it doesn’t hold all the cards.
◎ Secretary Pompeo’s speech affirms several trends in U.S. policy toward the PRC which we have identified since July 2018.
◎ A revived and vigorous Western information campaign would achieve a measure of informational reciprocity, exploit Chinese Communist vulnerability, and avoid a disastrous shooting war.
◎ Mike Pence generally adopted a more conciliatory tone towards China in his Wilson Center speech as compared with his fiery, hard-hitting Hudson Institute speech in October 2018.
◎ We look at some key factors that would make or break trade negotiations between America and China.
◎ When faced with popular uprisings or protests, the CCP typically resorts to the seemingly counterintuitive move of inciting the demonstrators or an entire population to violence.
◎ After the tragic Syria mistake, Washington cannot afford strategic ambiguity on Taiwan or any other place in Asia that is threatened by China or North Korea.
◎ CCP factional struggles are “you die, I live” and revolve around the preservation of interests and political legacies.