◎ We believe that the CCP is suspecting that the U.S. has decided to use the Falun Gong issue against the PRC.
◎ The CCP is especially vulnerable to attacks on its human rights record.
◎ We offer seven points of response to an open letter on U.S. policy on China by a hundred U.S. scholars, former diplomats and military officials, and business leaders.
◎ The Trump-Kim DMZ meeting somewhat cancels out China’s diplomatic effort in Pyongyang before the G20 summit in Osaka.
◎ Should current trends hold, the Trump-Xi meeting at the G20 will likely do little to prevent an escalation of the Sino-U.S. “new cold war.”
Geopolitics Watch: How the Trump-Xi G20 Meeting Could Affect Sino-US Relations in the Second Half of 2019
◎ Both President Trump and Xi Jinping have signaled strongly that they want to meet each other at the G20 in Osaka.
◎ The Trump administration has moved to challenge the regime on Huawei, human rights and Taiwan, as well as strengthen alliances and partnerships in the Indo-Pacific.
◎ The CCP will find it very hard to return to negotiations in the current geopolitical climate.
◎ We believe that there is a very good chance that China and the U.S. will get a trade agreement even as American tariffs go into effect.
◎ How the CCP reacts to Trump’s tariff threat would determine the outcome of the trade talks.
◎ The CCP will likely try to drag out the trade negotiations, the implementation of the trade deal, and the enforcement mediation process to gain an advantage in the “new cold war.”
◎ The CCP’s modus operandi ensures that the EU-China joint statement might as well be a blank sheet of paper.
◎ The CCP’s trade war strategy is revealed in its propaganda. Meanwhile, America struggles with the Party’s delaying tactic.
◎ The stalemate in Sino-U.S. trade negotiations has led to a stalemate in global geopolitics.
◎ Any “backsliding” by North Korea at this stage would be counterproductive for Kim Jong Un as it would likely cause the U.S. to redouble its focus on resolving trade with China.