POLITICS
Politics Watch: Ramifications of the Hong Kong Security Law for CCP Factional Politics
◎ The Hong Kong national security law is a double-edged sword for Xi in the factional struggle and could serve as a catalyst for political Black Swans.
China 2020 Outlook: Mid-term Review and H2 2020 Forecasts
◎ We expect to see many of the forecasts made in our China 2020 outlook to be verified over the second half of the year.
Politics Watch: CCP Regime Crisis, Crisis Strategy, and the Two Sessions
◎ This article offers an overview of the challenges that the CCP regime currently faces, the strategies and solutions it could pursue to avoid regime crisis, and the policies that it could roll out at the Two Sessions.
Politics Watch: Former PRC Justice Minister Fu Zhenghua Gets a ‘Soft Landing’
◎ The following analysis was first published in the April 30 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
Politics Watch: What is Xi Signaling with His Qiushi Speech and Remarks on Biosecurity?
◎ The following analysis was first published in the Feb. 20 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
Politics Watch: What the HKMAO Personnel Reshuffle Reveals About Xi Jinping’s Political Strength
◎ The following analysis was first published in the Feb. 13 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
Politics Watch: Analyzing the CCP’s Plans and Measures to Curb the Coronavirus
◎ To preserve its rule, the CCP can be expected to take even more extreme measures to curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Emergency Warning: The CCP’s Response to the Wuhan Virus Foreshadows a Global Crisis
◎ We believe that there is now a serious epidemic in Wuhan and the beginnings of a humanitarian crisis in mainland China.
Politics Watch: Wuhan Coronavirus Heightens Political Risks for the CCP, Xi
◎ It is almost second nature for PRC officials steeped in CCP culture to engage in a cover-up.
Politics Watch: Why Xi Stresses ‘Staying True to the Party’s Founding Mission,’ Removing ‘Tumors’
◎ Xi’s Jan. 8 speech reveals his and the Party’s concerns about regime-threatening risks.
Politics Watch: Early Analysis of the Hong Kong Liaison Office Personnel Reshuffle
◎ Luo Huining’s appointment does not signal that Beijing is taking a tougher stance on Hong Kong.
Geopolitics Watch: The ‘People’s Leader’ and the ‘Phase One’ Deal Signing
◎ Xi’s “people’s leader” tag is a sign of weakness, not strength.
Politics Watch: Analyzing Xi’s Military Personnel Moves Before the ‘Phase One’ Trade Deal
◎ We believe that Xi’s personnel moves are designed to ensure troop loyalty as he will face greatly heightened political risks should he go ahead and approve the signing of the “phase one” deal.
Politics Watch: How Beijing Could Respond to the Human Rights Day Rally in Hong Kong
◎ Just because the organizers of the Human Rights Day rally have permission to go ahead with it does not mean that the event will be free from controversy.
Politics Watch: Arrest of Defecting Chinese Spy’s Boss Raises Risks for the CCP Regime
◎ If Xiang Xin is indeed a PRC military intelligence officer, then the implications of his being held in custody in Taiwan are potentially far-reaching and disastrous for the CCP regime.