Politics Watch: Signs of Political Compromise and Crisis Surface as the PRC Marks its 70th Anniversary
◎ Why did Xi Jinping honor both Mao Zedong and a prominent Mao critic as part of the PRC’s 70th anniversary celebrations? We examine this and other signs.
◎ Songs have the power to become strong rallying calls for protest movements.
◎ Carrie Lam has technically not made any concessions yet to the protesters.
Politics Watch: Why Xi is Warning of ‘Risks and Challenges,’ Wants ‘Struggle Spirit’ from CCP Cadres
◎ Xi is making things very hard for himself and the PRC by defaulting to Party orthodoxy.
◎ It is becoming increasingly clear that the Sino-U.S. trade agreement has placed the Xi leadership in a Catch-22 situation.
Politics Watch: Beijing’s Struggles with CCP Orthodoxy and Factional Fighting Bode Ill for Hong Kong and the Trade Deal
◎ The Hong Kong protesters and the CCP are on course for a disastrous collision.
◎ The CCP seems to have made a “tactical adjustment” from outright coercion to suppression by terror to “stabilize” the situation in Hong Kong.
◎ The PRC’s recent public remarks about Hong Kong hold troubling implications.
◎ Black Swan events could be triggered on the mainland as the situation in Hong Kong deteriorates.
◎ We believe that the CCP is only making a tactical retreat in Hong Kong.
◎ There are several questionable details about the legislature break-in incident.
◎ Unless Xi resolves factional politics at home, China and the U.S. will find it very hard to get a trade deal.
◎ Xi is reasserting his paramount authority in the face of political pushback.
Politics Watch: Why the Chinese Ambassador to Britain is Rejecting Beijing’s Role in the Hong Kong Extradition Law
◎ Hong Kong’s chief executive and pro-Beijing lawmakers will likely try to determine Party central’s intention from Liu Xiaoming’s remarks and act accordingly.
◎ The present situation in Hong Kong is ripe for Xi’s political rivals to exploit and shift the balance of the struggle.