POLITICS
Politics Watch: Why Xi Stresses ‘Staying True to the Party’s Founding Mission,’ Removing ‘Tumors’
◎ Xi’s Jan. 8 speech reveals his and the Party’s concerns about regime-threatening risks.
Politics Watch: Early Analysis of the Hong Kong Liaison Office Personnel Reshuffle
◎ Luo Huining’s appointment does not signal that Beijing is taking a tougher stance on Hong Kong.
Geopolitics Watch: The ‘People’s Leader’ and the ‘Phase One’ Deal Signing
◎ Xi’s “people’s leader” tag is a sign of weakness, not strength.
Politics Watch: Analyzing Xi’s Military Personnel Moves Before the ‘Phase One’ Trade Deal
◎ We believe that Xi’s personnel moves are designed to ensure troop loyalty as he will face greatly heightened political risks should he go ahead and approve the signing of the “phase one” deal.
Politics Watch: How Beijing Could Respond to the Human Rights Day Rally in Hong Kong
◎ Just because the organizers of the Human Rights Day rally have permission to go ahead with it does not mean that the event will be free from controversy.
Politics Watch: Arrest of Defecting Chinese Spy’s Boss Raises Risks for the CCP Regime
◎ If Xiang Xin is indeed a PRC military intelligence officer, then the implications of his being held in custody in Taiwan are potentially far-reaching and disastrous for the CCP regime.
Politics Watch: Defecting Chinese Spy Disrupts the CCP’s Political Interference Operations
◎ Wang Liqiang’s exposing of the CCP’s plans to interfere in the 2020 Taiwan presidential election will likely have a huge impact on the election.
Politics Watch: Mounting Political Risks Leave Xi, CCP Vulnerable to Regime-threatening Black Swans
◎ The external and domestic risks facing the CCP and Xi Jinping are coming to a head.
Politics Watch: ‘Xinjiang Papers’ Another Confirmation of Political Crisis in the CCP
◎ While it is easy to focus on the human rights aspect of the Xinjiang Papers, observers should be aware of its larger and more consequential political implications.
Emergency Warning: Multiple Signs Point to Imminent, Hardline Crackdown in Hong Kong
◎ Various signs indicate that the Hong Kong government could go ahead with a large-scale crackdown on the anti-extradition bill protests.
Politics Watch: Shifting Trends in Hong Kong Post-Fourth Plenum
◎ Based on our observation, the CCP is again preparing to shift strategies in Hong Kong as it pursues short, medium, and long-term agendas.
Politics Watch: Early Analysis of the CCP Fourth Plenum
◎ The outcome of the Fourth Plenum suggests that it unfolded as we previously analyzed.
Politics Watch: How the CCP is Nullifying the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act
◎ When faced with popular uprisings or protests, the CCP typically resorts to the seemingly counterintuitive move of inciting the demonstrators or an entire population to violence.
Politics Watch: Exposé of CCP Elite Before Delayed Fourth Plenum Hints at Three-way Struggle
◎ CCP factional struggles are “you die, I live” and revolve around the preservation of interests and political legacies.
Politics Watch: Signs of Political Compromise and Crisis Surface as the PRC Marks its 70th Anniversary
◎ Why did Xi Jinping honor both Mao Zedong and a prominent Mao critic as part of the PRC’s 70th anniversary celebrations? We examine this and other signs.