As crises come to a head, political risk levels for Xi and the CCP will rise exponentially in 2023.
The Jiang faction could exploit Jiang Zemin’s death to undermine the Xi leadership by stirring up strong “anti-Xi, not anti-CCP” sentiments in China and overseas.
The report presents several possible personnel arrangements for the Politburo and its Standing Committee, as well as list personnel who could serve on the 20th Central Committee and Central Military Commission.
Bank trouble in China could in turn worsen social and economic instability in China to the detriment of Xi Jinping and the CCP.
The Shanghai lockdown and those in other areas are starting to weigh on the Chinese economy.
◎ The following analysis was first published in the February 10, 2022 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
There is an increased probability of cross-strait crisis in 2022.
Presenting our China 2022 outlook.
Qu Qingshan and Jiang Jinquan’s articles pave the way for Xi Jinping to move against the Jiang faction.