China Outlook 2023: China at Historical Crossroads as Crises Surge
As crises come to a head, political risk levels for Xi and the CCP will rise exponentially in 2023.
Early Analysis of Jiang Zemin’s Death and Implications for CCP Factional Struggle
The Jiang faction could exploit Jiang Zemin’s death to undermine the Xi leadership by stirring up strong “anti-Xi, not anti-CCP” sentiments in China and overseas.
20th Party Congress Forecast: Five Scenarios for the Politburo and its Standing Committee
The report presents several possible personnel arrangements for the Politburo and its Standing Committee, as well as list personnel who could serve on the 20th Central Committee and Central Military Commission.
China’s Banking Trouble Points to Financial Contagion, Declining Economy
Bank trouble in China could in turn worsen social and economic instability in China to the detriment of Xi Jinping and the CCP.
Shanghai ‘Zero-COVID’ Shutdown Threatens Economic Slowdown, Political Trouble
The Shanghai lockdown and those in other areas are starting to weigh on the Chinese economy.
Analyzing Fang Zhou’s ‘Objective Evaluation of Xi Jinping’
◎ The following analysis was first published in the February 10, 2022 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
Xi’s Political Considerations and the Risk of Cross-Strait Crisis in 2022
There is an increased probability of cross-strait crisis in 2022.
China 2022 Outlook: Xi and the CCP on the Precipice in a Party Congress Year
Presenting our China 2022 outlook.
Analyzing ‘Anti-Xi’ Messaging in the Post-Sixth Plenum Party Press
Qu Qingshan and Jiang Jinquan’s articles pave the way for Xi Jinping to move against the Jiang faction.
Xi’s ‘historical resolution’ downplays the political legacy of his predecessors
Xi’s “historical resolution” quietly lays the groundwork for him to move the Party further away from the “collective leadership” model and towards strongman dictatorship.