◎ A wave of economic shocks is coming to countries with significant China trade as the novel coronavirus epidemic halts production, travel, and supply chains.
◎ We believe that there is now a serious epidemic in Wuhan and the beginnings of a humanitarian crisis in mainland China.
◎ It is almost second nature for PRC officials steeped in CCP culture to engage in a cover-up.
◎ Presenting our China 2020 outlook.
◎ Messaging from China and the U.S. suggest that both sides want to make the deal happen.
◎ If Xiang Xin is indeed a PRC military intelligence officer, then the implications of his being held in custody in Taiwan are potentially far-reaching and disastrous for the CCP regime.
◎ Wang Liqiang’s exposing of the CCP’s plans to interfere in the 2020 Taiwan presidential election will likely have a huge impact on the election.
◎ The external and domestic risks facing the CCP and Xi Jinping are coming to a head.
◎ The CCP, the Hong Kong government, and the Hong Kong police are “pouring oil on fire” by ramping up violent tactics and disinformation operations to suppress the Hong Kong anti-extradition bill protests.
◎ The outcome of the Fourth Plenum suggests that it unfolded as we previously analyzed.
◎ Secretary Pompeo’s speech affirms several trends in U.S. policy toward the PRC which we have identified since July 2018.
Politics Watch: Signs of Political Compromise and Crisis Surface as the PRC Marks its 70th Anniversary
◎ Why did Xi Jinping honor both Mao Zedong and a prominent Mao critic as part of the PRC’s 70th anniversary celebrations? We examine this and other signs.
◎ A Black Swan event for the Chinese regime could be just around the corner.
◎ Through the use of “chain stratagems,” the CCP is looking to turn a negative situation into a positive one for its regime.
◎ It is becoming increasingly clear that the Sino-U.S. trade agreement has placed the Xi leadership in a Catch-22 situation.