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Risk Watch: The CCP Deploys ‘Chain Stratagems’ to Reassert Control Over Hong Kong
◎ Through the use of “chain stratagems,” the CCP is looking to turn a negative situation into a positive one for its regime.
Politics Watch: Fourth Plenum Timing and Agenda Confirm Political Crisis in China
◎ It is becoming increasingly clear that the Sino-U.S. trade agreement has placed the Xi leadership in a Catch-22 situation.
Geopolitics Watch: The CCP ‘Advances to Retreat’ on Hong Kong
◎ The CCP’s goal of “advancing to retreat” is to calm things down in the city and focus its energies instead on other pressing matters, such as the Sino-U.S. trade war and the 2020 Taiwan presidential election.
Geopolitics Watch: The US and the CCP Have Reached a Watershed Moment on Hong Kong
◎ How the U.S. and the world respond to the PRC’s statements and actions concerning Hong Kong over the coming days and weeks would determine whether or not the world sees another Tiananmen-style incident.
Influence Watch: Why the CCP Reacted Strongly to an Open Letter Supporting Trump’s China Policy
◎ We believe that the CCP’s response to the “Stay the Course” letter reveals deep insecurities and fears.
Politics Watch: Violence in Hong Kong and the CCP Factional Struggle
◎ Black Swan events could be triggered on the mainland as the situation in Hong Kong deteriorates.
Geopolitics Watch: Why the CCP Might Think That the US Has Gone ‘Nuclear’ with Human Rights
◎ We believe that the CCP is suspecting that the U.S. has decided to use the Falun Gong issue against the PRC.
China is Not an Enemy of the US and the World. But the CCP is.
◎ We offer seven points of response to an open letter on U.S. policy on China by a hundred U.S. scholars, former diplomats and military officials, and business leaders.
Politics Watch: G20 ‘Loser’ Xi Faces Increased Political Risks at Home
◎ Unless Xi resolves factional politics at home, China and the U.S. will find it very hard to get a trade deal.
Risk Watch: The Sino-US ‘Battle of Waterloo’ is Approaching
◎ A Sino-U.S. cold war is unavoidable and will be a zero-sum competition.
Politics Watch: The Hong Kong Extradition Law and the CCP Factional Struggle
◎ Xi’s political rivals are “weaponizing” Party orthodoxy against the Xi camp in Hong Kong affairs.
Risk Watch: How the CCP Could Do a ‘Pearl Harbor’ to Survive the ‘New Cold War’
◎ The CCP could use conventional and “unrestricted warfare” strategies and tactics against the United States.
Politics Watch: Probe of Liu Shiyu Sharply Raises Xi’s Political Risks
◎ The investigation of Liu Shiyu comes after an escalation in the Sino-U.S. trade war in early May and a worsening of bilateral relations.
Why We Predicted in January that America Would Raise Tariffs
◎ China is headed for tremendous change and political Black Swan events are on the horizon.
Influence Watch: Why the CCP Fears an Ideological Battle and a ‘Clash of Civilizations’
◎ While the CCP has sought to equate itself with China, China and the Chinese regime are in fact two separate entities with opposing values.