◎ There is a pattern in recent years of “explosive information” about CCP elites being revealed during crucial periods in the factional struggle.
◎ The CCP’s political and legal affairs apparatus continues to oppose the Xi leadership, and the factional struggle intensifies.
◎ The sentencing of Fang Fenghui at this time hints at three possible political developments.
◎ Manufacturers may eventually shift out of China to Vietnam and an economically liberalized North Korea.
◎ The remarks of Li Chunsheng are a further sign that the CCP is feeling the pressure from rising social tensions.
Politics Watch: Former Securities Regulator’s Move to Rural Supply Cooperative a Further Sign of Regime Crisis
◎ Liu Shiyu’s transfer to the CCP’s rural supply cooperative is more than just a “demotion.”
◎ Xi is likely seeking to stamp his paramount authority and unify the Party as political, economic, and social crises mount in China.
Politics Watch: Xi’s Meeting with Provincial-level Officials Hints at Unprecedented Crisis in the CCP
◎ The CCP regime is facing an immense, and likely unprecedented, political crisis.
◎ Presenting our 2019 China outlook.
◎ Part two of our 2018 forecasting review.
◎ We believe that Xi Jinping presently faces critical levels of political risk given the political and economic problems in the regime.
◎ Part one of our 2018 forecasting review.
◎ The 90-day trade talks, if successful, will tackle U.S. national security concerns at its root.
◎ Xi faces very high levels of political risk in the next 90 days.
◎ We identify three broad strategic lines which the CCP is pursuing to hijack the discourse on Chinese influence.