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Geopolitics Watch: The Potentially Dire Implications of US Tariffs on China
On June 15, United States President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Chinese imports. Details from the White House and the Office of the United States
Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim Summit Affirms Our Peace and Denuclearization Prediction
United States President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a joint statement at the end of their summit in Singapore on
Geopolitics Watch: US Deal Puts ZTE on ‘Probation,’ Benefits US National Security
On June 7, United States Commerce Department Secretary Wilbur Ross announced a deal to allow Chinese telecommunications company ZTE to resume business. Under the deal,
Why We Predicted Coming Peace on the Korean Peninsula
By Don Tse and Larry Ong On April 27, the leaders of North and South Korea met at the demilitarized zone and signed a joint
Risk Watch: US ZTE Ban Exposes China’s Tech Industry Vulnerabilities
On April 16, the United States Department of Commerce banned American companies from selling services, software, or components to ZTE Corp, a state-supported Chinese telecommunications
How We Correctly Predicted Wang Qishan as China’s Vice President
By Don Tse and Larry Ong Introduction To rookie and veteran observers, the fate of Wang Qishan is perhaps one of the more perplexing developments
Why Xi Jinping Removed China’s Presidential Term Limit
By Don Tse and Larry Ong Chinese state media published a list of constitutional changes deliberated by the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th Central Committee on
China’s Five Strategies for Economic Expansion in the Digital Age
After months of anticipation, the China Securities Regulatory Commission announced on Feb. 9 that China would be launching its yuan-denominated crude oil futures contract on
Why Trump Security Team Sees a Nationalized 5G Network as Counter to China
By Don Tse United States national security officials considered building a secure 5G network to guard against China, a cybersecurity and economic threat, according to
Trump’s National Security Strategy a Timely Counter to China’s Expansionism
By Don Tse and Larry Ong China is a “rival power” that seeks “to challenge American influence, values, and wealth,” said United States President Donald
China in 2018: Seven Points to Watch
There is a rising probability that China will face charging gray rhinos and encounter black swans in 2018. Politics is paramount in China, and the
Behind Trump and Xi’s ‘Great Chemistry’
When talking about China, President Donald Trump usually brings up his cordial friendship with Xi Jinping. “People say we have the best relationship of any
What American Intervention in North Korea Means for Xi
North Korea tested a missile capable of reaching the whole of the United States mainland on Nov. 28. Since then, signs have emerged which suggests
How the PLA Can Pose a Threat to the US
In his speech at the 19th Party Congress, Xi Jinping gave the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) three targets: Achieve basic mechanization, make significant progress in
How We Correctly Predicted China’s 19th Congress
Elite Chinese politics has long been regarded as a black box, and not without valid reason. Even the most seasoned China experts struggle with unreliable