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Politics Watch: Probe of Liu Shiyu Sharply Raises Xi’s Political Risks
◎ The investigation of Liu Shiyu comes after an escalation in the Sino-U.S. trade war in early May and a worsening of bilateral relations.
Why We Predicted in January that America Would Raise Tariffs
◎ China is headed for tremendous change and political Black Swan events are on the horizon.
Influence Watch: Why the CCP Fears an Ideological Battle and a ‘Clash of Civilizations’
◎ While the CCP has sought to equate itself with China, China and the Chinese regime are in fact two separate entities with opposing values.
Geopolitics Watch: The CCP is Exploiting US Trade Talks to Further its Domination Agenda
◎ The CCP will likely try to drag out the trade negotiations, the implementation of the trade deal, and the enforcement mediation process to gain an advantage in the “new cold war.”
Geopolitics Watch: Europe Walks into the CCP’s ‘Concessions Trap’
◎ The CCP’s modus operandi ensures that the EU-China joint statement might as well be a blank sheet of paper.
Geopolitics Watch: China Prepares to Sign ‘Unequal Treaty,’ Continues Delaying Tactics in Trade War
◎ The CCP’s trade war strategy is revealed in its propaganda. Meanwhile, America struggles with the Party’s delaying tactic.
Politics Watch: Xi Faces Pushback from the Intelligence Apparatus
◎ There is a pattern in recent years of “explosive information” about CCP elites being revealed during crucial periods in the factional struggle.
Politics Watch: Shock Turn in ‘Shaanxi Case’ Suggests Escalation of Factional Struggle
◎ The CCP’s political and legal affairs apparatus continues to oppose the Xi leadership, and the factional struggle intensifies.
Politics Watch: Sentencing of Fang Fenghui Portends Major Moves by Beijing, Hints at Regime Crisis
◎ The sentencing of Fang Fenghui at this time hints at three possible political developments.
Geopolitics Watch: US Strategic Advantages of Holding the Second Trump-Kim Meeting in Vietnam
◎ Manufacturers may eventually shift out of China to Vietnam and an economically liberalized North Korea.
Politics Watch: Guangdong Public Security Chief Says ‘Political Risk’ a Major Focus of 2019
◎ The remarks of Li Chunsheng are a further sign that the CCP is feeling the pressure from rising social tensions.
Politics Watch: Former Securities Regulator’s Move to Rural Supply Cooperative a Further Sign of Regime Crisis
◎ Liu Shiyu’s transfer to the CCP’s rural supply cooperative is more than just a “demotion.”
Politics Watch: Politburo Meeting and Study Session Reveal Regime Crisis
◎ Xi is likely seeking to stamp his paramount authority and unify the Party as political, economic, and social crises mount in China.
Politics Watch: Xi’s Meeting with Provincial-level Officials Hints at Unprecedented Crisis in the CCP
◎ The CCP regime is facing an immense, and likely unprecedented, political crisis.
China 2019 Outlook: A Decisive Year for Sino-US Relations
◎ Presenting our 2019 China outlook.