2024 track record

China 2024 Outlook Review
August 9, 2025
◎ We made 27 predictions covering eight topics in our China 2024 Outlook. Twenty-four of those predictions were verified over the year, giving us a forecasting accuracy of 88.9 percent.

China Outlook 2024: Political Black Swans Loom Large for Xi and the CCP
December 31, 2023
We expect many of the internal and external crises plaguing the PRC to continue and worsen for Xi and the CCP in 2024.