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The CCP Politburo announced in a meeting on Aug. 30 that the 20th Party Congress will be held on Oct. 16, 2022. During the key political conclave, General Secretary Xi Jinping is generally expected to take a third term and reshuffle key personnel in his favor.
SinoInsider’s 20th Party Congress personnel reshuffle forecast report will look at what Xi wants from the 20th Party Congress, whether he is capable of achieving his objectives, and how the major personnel reshuffles could turn out depending on the degree of Xi’s political strength.
The report presents several possible personnel arrangements for the Politburo and its Standing Committee, as well as list personnel who could serve on the 20th Central Committee and Central Military Commission.
We previously forecasted the 19th Politburo Standing Committee with 100% accuracy (including ranking and portfolio) and the Politburo with 80% accuracy. We were also the first to predict after the 19th Party Congress that Wang Qishan would serve as PRC vice president.
Our other notable predictions and analyses include:
- Analyzed in 2018 that former public security vice minister Fu Zhenghua “still faces significant levels of political risk” despite being appointed as justice minister. Fu was purged in August 2021.
- Analyzed in January 2018 that a Sino-U.S. trade war was unavoidable.
- Predicted in our China 2019 outlook that contagious diseases could break out in China and that the PRC would first seek to cover up the situation.
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“Your publication insights tremendously help us complete our regular analysis on in-depth issues of major importance. ” — Ms. Nicoleta Buracinschi, Embassy of Romania to the People’s Republic of China
“I value SinoInsider because of its always brilliant articles touching on, to name just a few, CCP history, current trends, and factional politics. Its concise and incisive analysis — absent the cliches that dominate China policy discussions in DC and U.S. corporate boardrooms — also represents a major contribution to the history of our era by clearly defining the threat the CCP poses to American peace and prosperity and global stability.” — Lee Smith, author and journalist
“I’m a very happy, satisfied subscriber to your service and all the deep information it provides to increase our understanding. SinoInsider is profoundly helping to alter the public landscape when it comes to the PRC.” — James Newman, former U.S. Navy cryptologist
“SinoInsider produces top-notch analysis of CCP politics. Their articles are written to a very high standard and their study of changes in China are very thorough. My work in mainland China requires me to understand China’s political situation, for which I need SinoInsider’s analysis.” — Mr. Wu, senior official of a Taiwanese enterprise in Shanghai
See here for more of our track record and testimonials.