Xi Solidifies Party Dominance Over State Apparatus at Two Sessions
The first two days of the Two Sessions saw three developments that more firmly entrenched the Party’s domination over the state government.
POLITICS
How We Fared: Reviewing Our 20th Party Congress Forecast
We were able to forecast the 20th Party Congress leadership reshuffle with good accuracy without relying on insider sources using our unique political risk assessment model.
20th Party Congress Forecast: Five Scenarios for the Politburo and its Standing Committee
The report presents several possible personnel arrangements for the Politburo and its Standing Committee, as well as list personnel who could serve on the 20th Central Committee and Central Military Commission.
China’s Banking Trouble Points to Financial Contagion, Declining Economy
Bank trouble in China could in turn worsen social and economic instability in China to the detriment of Xi Jinping and the CCP.
Shanghai ‘Zero-COVID’ Shutdown Threatens Economic Slowdown, Political Trouble
The Shanghai lockdown and those in other areas are starting to weigh on the Chinese economy.
Analyzing Fang Zhou’s ‘Objective Evaluation of Xi Jinping’
◎ The following analysis was first published in the February 10, 2022 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
Xi’s Political Considerations and the Risk of Cross-Strait Crisis in 2022
There is an increased probability of cross-strait crisis in 2022.
China 2022 Outlook: Xi and the CCP on the Precipice in a Party Congress Year
Presenting our China 2022 outlook.
Analyzing ‘Anti-Xi’ Messaging in the Post-Sixth Plenum Party Press
Qu Qingshan and Jiang Jinquan’s articles pave the way for Xi Jinping to move against the Jiang faction.
What to Expect From Chinese Politics in 2022
Escalating Xi-Jiang faction struggle will raise political risk levels in China in 2022.