◎ China scholars and policy practitioners increasingly are accepting a painful and long-denied reality: four decades of Western engagement have failed to induce critical changes in the domestic and foreign policies of the Chinese Communist Party.
◎ China could see its international standing diminish as America and Taiwan draw closer and take firmer action to counter the CCP’s Taiwan strategy.
◎ The U.S. recognizes that the China threat is everywhere and existential, and has made addressing the issue the top priority.
◎ The People’s Republic of China has successfully defied the international order and is relentlessly remaking it in its own mold.
◎ We have observed that CCP propaganda assets have been spreading targeted propaganda narratives to influential individuals and organizations in the U.S. in recent months.
◎ The CCP is mortally afraid of ideological confrontation with the U.S. because such confrontation could lead to its collapse.
◎ The Trump administration must utilize creative strategies and tactics to counter CCP propaganda and come out ahead on trade and North Korea.
◎ America prioritizing its relations with the ROC over the PRC is a return to the post-WWII, pre-Nixon state of affairs.
◎ The CCP appears to be gambling that U.S. domestic elections play out in a manner that allows it to avoid a consequential clash with America.
◎ The new U.S.-EU trade agreement, while still being finalized, would likely come to be seen as a watershed in Trump’s effort to rebuild the global order.
◎ The timing and tempo of the U.S. strategies is vital to ensure mission success.
◎ What we are seeing from Beijing and Pyongyang is textbook communist regime negotiation tactics.
◎ Xi is posturing for the moment, but future action depends on U.S. action.
◎ We believe that a full-blown Sino-U.S. trade war is the catalyst that would set China on the path of tremendous change.
◎ We examine the “worst-case scenario” of what the implementation of U.S. tariffs might mean for America, China, and North Korea.