◎ Xi faces very high levels of political risk in the next 90 days.
◎ Xi was likely seeking a pause going into the G20. The concessions which he made to gain the pause suggests a “pyrrhic victory.”
◎ Pence’s message to Beijing was firm and clear: “The United States … will not change course until China changes its ways.”
◎ Using the Red Matrix aggressively is a double-edged sword for the CCP when the U.S. is on high-alert for CCP influence and interference operations.
◎ Xi Jinping and Donald Trump likely find it to be in their interest to hold a summit at the G20 meeting in Buenos Aires.
◎ The midterm results should have little effect on influencing the Sino-U.S. trade war.
◎ Xi may be planning to make concessions on trade, but the CCP system may not let him give up too much.
◎ President Donald Trump has not hesitated to tear up international commitments made by his predecessors if he determines they are not in America’s national interest.
◎ “Strategic competition” between America and the PRC has stepped up several notches.
◎ CCP stubbornness and the Trump administration’s willingness to call out PRC misbehavior and apply pressure on the CCP’s vital points would lead to an escalation in Sino-U.S. tensions.
◎ For Kissinger, changing the Communist Party’s approach to domestic governance was separate from, and subservient to, global realpolitik concerns.