◎ It is becoming increasingly clear that the Sino-U.S. trade agreement has placed the Xi leadership in a Catch-22 situation.
Politics Watch: Beijing’s Struggles with CCP Orthodoxy and Factional Fighting Bode Ill for Hong Kong and the Trade Deal
◎ The Hong Kong protesters and the CCP are on course for a disastrous collision.
◎ As of Q2 2019, 41 of our 58 predictions (70.7 percent) have been verified.
◎ The CCP’s goal of “advancing to retreat” is to calm things down in the city and focus its energies instead on other pressing matters, such as the Sino-U.S. trade war and the 2020 Taiwan presidential election.
◎ President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping both face critical decisions on the looming crisis in Hong Kong.
◎ If the CCP has identified that Trump will do anything to get his trade deal, they will definitely call his bluff and turn the trade deal into his greatest weakness.
◎ Trump’s ambiguous messaging on the Hong Kong issue will embolden the CCP to keep pushing the limits in suppressing the protesters.
◎ The CCP seems to have made a “tactical adjustment” from outright coercion to suppression by terror to “stabilize” the situation in Hong Kong.
◎ The PRC and the U.S. have unwittingly stumbled into battle with the CCP devaluing the RMB and the U.S. declaring China a currency manipulator.
◎ The PRC’s recent public remarks about Hong Kong hold troubling implications.
◎ How the U.S. and the world respond to the PRC’s statements and actions concerning Hong Kong over the coming days and weeks would determine whether or not the world sees another Tiananmen-style incident.
◎ The people of Hong Kong are leading the way in the first major ideological confrontation of the new cold war that the People’s Republic of China has launched against the West.
◎ We believe that the CCP’s response to the “Stay the Course” letter reveals deep insecurities and fears.
◎ Like Reagan with the Soviet Union, Trump should launch a moral offensive against China and North Korea that will reap enormous strategic benefits as well.