◎ Unless Xi resolves factional politics at home, China and the U.S. will find it very hard to get a trade deal.
◎ Xi is reasserting his paramount authority in the face of political pushback.
◎ The CCP’s aggression extended beyond populations within China and along its borders.
◎ Should current trends hold, the Trump-Xi meeting at the G20 will likely do little to prevent an escalation of the Sino-U.S. “new cold war.”
◎ A Sino-U.S. cold war is unavoidable and will be a zero-sum competition.
◎ President Trump, still addressing the consequences of the earlier unconsummated events, faces a new situation as the people of Hong Kong defy Beijing’s further erosion of their guaranteed rights of limited self-government.
Politics Watch: Why the Chinese Ambassador to Britain is Rejecting Beijing’s Role in the Hong Kong Extradition Law
◎ Hong Kong’s chief executive and pro-Beijing lawmakers will likely try to determine Party central’s intention from Liu Xiaoming’s remarks and act accordingly.
◎ The present situation in Hong Kong is ripe for Xi’s political rivals to exploit and shift the balance of the struggle.
◎ Xi’s political rivals are “weaponizing” Party orthodoxy against the Xi camp in Hong Kong affairs.
Geopolitics Watch: How the Trump-Xi G20 Meeting Could Affect Sino-US Relations in the Second Half of 2019
◎ Both President Trump and Xi Jinping have signaled strongly that they want to meet each other at the G20 in Osaka.
◎ The CCP could use conventional and “unrestricted warfare” strategies and tactics against the United States.
◎ The Trump administration has moved to challenge the regime on Huawei, human rights and Taiwan, as well as strengthen alliances and partnerships in the Indo-Pacific.
◎ The Trump administration is confronting China multidimensionally — on trade, Taiwan, the South China Sea and North Korea — as no predecessor ever did.
◎ Ren Zhengfei’s alternating rhetoric reveals that Huawei is at its “wit’s end.”