◎ The outcome of the Fourth Plenum suggests that it unfolded as we previously analyzed.
◎ There are things the Czechs themselves still can do to teach China that it doesn’t hold all the cards.
◎ Secretary Pompeo’s speech affirms several trends in U.S. policy toward the PRC which we have identified since July 2018.
◎ A revived and vigorous Western information campaign would achieve a measure of informational reciprocity, exploit Chinese Communist vulnerability, and avoid a disastrous shooting war.
◎ Mike Pence generally adopted a more conciliatory tone towards China in his Wilson Center speech as compared with his fiery, hard-hitting Hudson Institute speech in October 2018.
◎ We look at some key factors that would make or break trade negotiations between America and China.
◎ When faced with popular uprisings or protests, the CCP typically resorts to the seemingly counterintuitive move of inciting the demonstrators or an entire population to violence.
◎ After the tragic Syria mistake, Washington cannot afford strategic ambiguity on Taiwan or any other place in Asia that is threatened by China or North Korea.
◎ CCP factional struggles are “you die, I live” and revolve around the preservation of interests and political legacies.
Risk Watch: The CCP’s Strategic Intentions Behind the Hong Kong Exchange’s Bid for the London Exchange
◎ We have reason to suspect that the CCP has strategic intentions behind the HKEX move for the LSE.
◎ The Trump administration is complementing the CCP’s delaying tactics with a “phase-by-phase” approach to a trade deal, and is falling into the CCP’s trap.
◎ Within the span of a week, art imitated life and life imitated art regarding CCP censorship.
Politics Watch: Signs of Political Compromise and Crisis Surface as the PRC Marks its 70th Anniversary
◎ Why did Xi Jinping honor both Mao Zedong and a prominent Mao critic as part of the PRC’s 70th anniversary celebrations? We examine this and other signs.
◎ A Black Swan event for the Chinese regime could be just around the corner.
◎ We have identified four tactics which the CCP is utilizing to carry out its “judo move.”