◎China will find it hard to sustain the economic “recovery” in April. ◎Risks of a stock market crash are greater than before.
◎ The CCP’s modus operandi ensures that the EU-China joint statement might as well be a blank sheet of paper.
◎ The CCP is putting its political credit on the line by making local bonds available over the counter.
On Dec. 31, 2018, we made 58 predictions on what might unfold in China in 2019. Our predictions covered seven categories: Politics, the economy, military, society, cross-Strait relations, Sino-U.S. relations, and China and the world. Based on our tally, 31 of our 58 predictions (53.44 percent) have been verified as
◎ The CCP’s trade war strategy is revealed in its propaganda. Meanwhile, America struggles with the Party’s delaying tactic.
◎ In Italy, Xi signals strong determination to push through reforms.
◎ The stalemate in Sino-U.S. trade negotiations has led to a stalemate in global geopolitics.
◎ Given significant developments across the Taiwan Strait over the ensuing two years, it is time for a more substantive conversation between the two democratic presidents.
◎ Any “backsliding” by North Korea at this stage would be counterproductive for Kim Jong Un as it would likely cause the U.S. to redouble its focus on resolving trade with China.
◎ Gu Zhuoheng’s tweets and Cui Yongyuan’s “reappearance” appear to connect a trail of breadcrumbs which point to an intensification of the CCP factional struggle.
◎ The timing of the plunge and other odd developments suggest that CCP factional politics could be a factor influencing the recent sell-offs.
◎ The spotlighting of qigong at the Two Sessions is connected with the “you die, I live” factional struggle in the CCP.
◎ How did the failure to secure a declaration of all North Korea’s nuclear and missile capabilities, let alone a specific commitment to destroy them, somehow move the ball forward?