Beijing doubles down on security amid slowing economy
The Chinese Communist Party’s early response to China’s gloomy economic outlook was doubling down on regime security.
OUR RESEARCH

Risk Watch: Chinese Online Property ‘Unicorn’ Aiwujiwu Shuts Down
◎ The collapse of Aiwujiwu and pinganfang.com suggests that the business model of “property + financing + internet services” is failing in China.

Politics Watch: Shock Turn in ‘Shaanxi Case’ Suggests Escalation of Factional Struggle
◎ The CCP’s political and legal affairs apparatus continues to oppose the Xi leadership, and the factional struggle intensifies.

Politics Watch: Sentencing of Fang Fenghui Portends Major Moves by Beijing, Hints at Regime Crisis
◎ The sentencing of Fang Fenghui at this time hints at three possible political developments.

Geopolitics Watch: Xi Lays Groundwork for Trade Concessions in State Media
◎ The propaganda narratives in Xinhua lay the groundwork for Xi to agree to U.S. demands on sensitive issues like structural reform without losing face at home.

The End of Strategic Ambiguity on Taiwan?
◎ Is the United States government about to declare a clear and firm commitment to defend Taiwan?

Geopolitics Watch: Will China and America Reach a Real Trade Deal By March 1?
◎ Xi has pressing need to compromise, and Trump will not accept a “superficial” trade deal.

Geopolitics Watch: US Strategic Advantages of Holding the Second Trump-Kim Meeting in Vietnam
◎ Manufacturers may eventually shift out of China to Vietnam and an economically liberalized North Korea.

Post-shutdown, Trump Must Get Tough with Foreign Adversaries
◎ History has taught that an American president’s credibility on a major U.S. domestic issue can be transferable to tests of will in the international arena, for good or ill.

Geopolitics Watch: Sino-US Trade Enforcement and the ZTE ‘Probation’ Model
◎ America could have the ZTE model in mind in enforcing the trade deal.
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