◎ If Xi is already thinking about a third term, he won’t designate a successor at the 19th Congress.
◎ Xi will flexibly interpret existing Communist Party norms to achieve two goals.
◎ North Korea may either launch a ballistic missile or carry out a nuclear test on the opening day of the Congress.
◎ Presenting our forecast for the Central Military Command reshuffle.
◎ Based on our analysis, Guo is deeply involved in the power struggle between Xi Jinping and the Jiang Zemin faction.
◎ How “Xi Jinping Thought” will eventually be phrased in the CCP constitution will be a bellwether of Xi’s political strength.
◎ Xi has spent the last five years consolidating his control over the military by instituting comprehensive reforms and reshuffling top personnel.
◎ The National Supervisory Commission is a new state anti-corruption body with jurisdiction over CCP cadres and state employees.
◎ Anti-corruption chief Wang Qishan launched the CCDI website in 2014 to allow the CCDI to control its own propaganda messaging and circumvent the Jiang Zemin faction-controlled propaganda apparatus.
◎ Xi is looking to vest more power in his position as CMC chairman and dilute the authority of the vice chairs.
◎ Xi may be seeking several outcomes at the 19th Congress.
◎ Wang may be recognized as an unofficial “Standing Committee member.”
◎ Leading members of the People’s Armed Police, China’s paramilitary, toured a state-backed exhibition in Beijing on Oct. 6.
◎ Xi Jinping has been sweeping the top military rungs since August.
◎ Xi probably wants senior CCP cadres to read the report and get on board with his plans to centralize power in his person.