Beijing doubles down on security amid slowing economy
The Chinese Communist Party’s early response to China’s gloomy economic outlook was doubling down on regime security.
OUR RESEARCH

Geopolitics Watch: N. Korea Denuke ‘Stalemate’ and the Sino-US Trade War
◎ Any “backsliding” by North Korea at this stage would be counterproductive for Kim Jong Un as it would likely cause the U.S. to redouble its focus on resolving trade with China.

Politics Watch: More Signs Point to Escalation in the CCP Factional Struggle
◎ Gu Zhuoheng’s tweets and Cui Yongyuan’s “reappearance” appear to connect a trail of breadcrumbs which point to an intensification of the CCP factional struggle.

Risk Watch: The Chinese Stock Market Plunge and Factional Politics
◎ The timing of the plunge and other odd developments suggest that CCP factional politics could be a factor influencing the recent sell-offs.

Politics Watch: A Black Swan Leading Indicator Surfaces at the Two Sessions
◎ The spotlighting of qigong at the Two Sessions is connected with the “you die, I live” factional struggle in the CCP.

Hanoi Summit Failure? Not Quite — Kim Now Owes Trump Big Time
◎ How did the failure to secure a declaration of all North Korea’s nuclear and missile capabilities, let alone a specific commitment to destroy them, somehow move the ball forward?

Risk Watch: Early Analysis of China’s Government Work Report
◎ Several proposals in the 2019 government work report seemingly cancel out each other or will contradict Xi’s push to have the “Party lead everything”

Politics Watch: Xi Faces Pushback from the Intelligence Apparatus
◎ There is a pattern in recent years of “explosive information” about CCP elites being revealed during crucial periods in the factional struggle.

Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis & Forecast on Extended Sino-US Trade Talks
◎ The CCP factional struggle will escalate as Xi tries to force through reforms to meet U.S. trade demands.

A ‘5 Percent Monthly’ Plan to Denuclearize, Develop North Korea
◎ A proposed schedule of nuclear and missile dismantling would be part of a good-faith showing by Kim.
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