What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Risk vs. Opportunity: Xi’s New Shanghai Chief to Target Entrenched Corruption Networks
◎ Li Qiang will escalate Xi’s anti-corruption drive in Shanghai.
China Could Get a Fifth Vice Premier
◎ New Politburo member Yang Jiechi may become a State Council vice premier with a foreign affairs portfolio.
Central Military Commission Member Promoted Four Times in Two Years
◎ On Nov. 2, Xi Jinping personally promoted Lt. General Zhang Shengmin to full general.
Risk vs. Opportunity: Microsoft in China
◎ There are severe downsides for businesses who ignore or lack a fuller understanding of China’s elite politics.
Risk vs. Opportunity: China’s Probe of Non-resident Accounts With Over a Million in Deposits
◎ China’s ongoing probe of non-resident financial accounts may be aimed at uncovering corrupt activity by Chinese nationals with foreign passports or residencies.
China’s Paramilitary, a ‘Coup Tool,’ to be Drastically Downsized
◎ The PAP reforms are helpful to Xi in two ways.
Risk Watch: Four Financial Industries Xi’s Anti-corruption Drive Will Hit
◎ Xi’s intent to clean up the financial sector is best observed in the proceedings of the 5th National Financial Work Conference in mid-July.
Xi Strengthens Control Over Key Provinces With Leadership Reshuffle
◎ Communist Party factions try to get their supporters into the top provincial leadership office to grow their influence.
New Politburo Regulation Confirms Xi’s ‘General Secretary Plus’ Role
◎ The new work report requirement for Politburo members clearly sets Xi above the rest of the Politburo Standing Committee.
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