China Outlook 2025: Crises Set to Worsen for Xi and the CCP
Our China 2025 outlook contains 32 predictions covering eight categories.
OUR RESEARCH
Risk Watch: China’s Law and Security Apparatus Calls for ‘Vigorous’ Financial Risk Prevention
◎ The Xi administration considers financial affairs and risks to be a matter of national security.
Risk Watch: Decoding a Five-year, $11 Billion Ponzi Scheme
◎ The Qianbao and Ezubo scams expose the hidden risks in China’s financial sector.
Personnel Watch: Financial Officials Become Vice Mayors in Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai
◎ The Xi leadership may want financial officials in local administrations who can better deal with economic problems and financial risks.
Risk Watch: Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Branch Fined $72 Million
◎ The Shanghai Pudong Development Bank case is very likely only the tip of the iceberg of China’s financial sector woes.
Political Watch: Decoding the Second Plenum
◎ The second plenum of the 19th Central Committee represents a break with the past in three ways.
Personnel Watch: An Updated Vice Premier Candidate Forecast
◎ If the vice premier list is more or less decided, then former anti-corruption chief Wang Qishan stands a higher chance of becoming Chinese vice president.
Risk Watch: Decoding China Banking Regulator Guo Shuqing’s Media Interview
◎ China’s financial system is currently vulnerable to risks, and faces the threat of “gray rhinos” and “black swans.”
Political Risk Watch: Decoding the State Council’s New State-owned Asset Management Report Requirement
◎ The introduction of the new State Council state asset supervision requirement signals trouble for the Jiang faction.
Risk Watch: China’s Banking Regulator Issues $8.7 Million Worth of Fine Tickets in a Fortnight
◎ In the first two weeks of 2018, 13 China Bank Regulatory Commission provincial branches and sub-bureaus issued 76 violation tickets to various financial institutions.
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