China Outlook 2025: Crises Set to Worsen for Xi and the CCP
Our China 2025 outlook contains 32 predictions covering eight categories.
OUR RESEARCH
Risk Watch: Can China’s New Negative List Help Defuse Trade Dispute with America?
◎ There are two reasons why the Xi administration appears to be motivated to open up China’s economy.
Risk Watch: Property Prices on ‘Lockdown’ as China Development Bank Limits PSL
◎ The Chinese regime has been shifting government and national debt to the Chinese people via the “monetization” of shantytown redevelopment projects.
Risk Watch: China’s Industrial Profits Fell, Not Rose, Between January to May
◎ Industrial profits had in fact fallen 6 percent year-on-year.
Social Watch: Army Veterans’ Protest Reflects China’s Financial Woes
◎ The rights and welfare of PLA veterans are often disregarded.
Risk Watch: Official Data Shows China’s Economy Worsened in May
◎ NBS data actually indicates that China’s economy is worsening all-round.
Geopolitics Watch: Will Xi Really Strike Back at the US in Trade Clash?
◎ Xi is posturing for the moment, but future action depends on U.S. action.
Geopolitics Watch: Sino-US Trade Conflict a Catalyst for Big Change in China
◎ We believe that a full-blown Sino-U.S. trade war is the catalyst that would set China on the path of tremendous change.
Risk Watch: China’s National Property Database Aimed at Property Tax Collection, Curbing Corruption
◎ A national database could be used to facilitate the investigation of corrupt officials.
Geopolitics Watch: The Potentially Dire Implications of US Tariffs on China
◎ We examine the “worst-case scenario” of what the implementation of U.S. tariffs might mean for America, China, and North Korea.
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