What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
One China (unreformed), Two Henrys (unrepentant)
◎ What distinguishes the Trump administration from its predecessors is the recognition that decades of U.S. engagement with China have utterly failed.
Politics Watch: How Beijing Could Respond to the Human Rights Day Rally in Hong Kong
◎ Just because the organizers of the Human Rights Day rally have permission to go ahead with it does not mean that the event will be free from controversy.
Geopolitics Watch: Passing of Hong Kong Act Sinks the CCP Deeper into the Hong Kong Quagmire
◎ While the CCP has sought to extricate itself from the Hong Kong quagmire, its measures have thus far only caused it to sink in deeper.
Politics Watch: Arrest of Defecting Chinese Spy’s Boss Raises Risks for the CCP Regime
◎ If Xiang Xin is indeed a PRC military intelligence officer, then the implications of his being held in custody in Taiwan are potentially far-reaching and disastrous for the CCP regime.
Trump’s Monumental Decision on Hong Kong
◎ The course of action Trump chooses will have broad implications for the future of U.S.-China relations, and for the security and confidence of Taiwan.
Politics Watch: Defecting Chinese Spy Disrupts the CCP’s Political Interference Operations
◎ Wang Liqiang’s exposing of the CCP’s plans to interfere in the 2020 Taiwan presidential election will likely have a huge impact on the election.
Politics Watch: Mounting Political Risks Leave Xi, CCP Vulnerable to Regime-threatening Black Swans
◎ The external and domestic risks facing the CCP and Xi Jinping are coming to a head.
Trump Must Regain His Advantage Over Xi Jinping and Kim Jong Un
◎ Whatever else happens in and to his presidency, a historic positive legacy awaits Trump if he re-grasps the opportunity he alone created.
Politics Watch: ‘Xinjiang Papers’ Another Confirmation of Political Crisis in the CCP
◎ While it is easy to focus on the human rights aspect of the Xinjiang Papers, observers should be aware of its larger and more consequential political implications.
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