What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Risk Watch: China’s Social Security Ministry in Deficit, Has Less than a Year of Pension Funds in 13 Regions
◎ The HRSS pension fund deficit is a ticking time bomb for the Chinese authorities.
Political Risk Watch: Cai Qi, Beijing Chief and Xi’s Trusted Aide, Steps on a ‘Landmine’
◎ Xi’s rivals could use Cai’s misstep to stoke social tensions further and worsen the situation.
Political Risk Watch: Xi Slams Bureaucratism After Beijing Residents Protest
◎ Over a hundred residents of Beijing Chaoyang District’s Feijia Village marched in the streets on Dec. 10 to protest the Beijing municipal government’s forced eviction of the “low-end population” from the city.
Zhang Yang’s Suicide Raises Four Troubling Questions
◎ The state explanation for Zhang’s death becomes unpersuasive in considering the lack of follow up statements from top military leaders and other intelligence and overseas reports.
Xi Sends Interior Division-level Military Officers to the Borders for ‘Training’
◎ Xi could have implemented the border-interior swap move as a precautionary measure against potential military coups.
After Zhang Yang’s Suicide, Senior Military Leaders Attend Study Session in Beijing
◎ China’s top military brass was very likely summoned to Beijing for the study seminar to declare their loyalty to Xi Jinping following the death of Zhang Yang.
Troops from Northern Theater Command Filmed Marching in Streets
◎ Given the very tense North Korean situation, Chinese citizens along the Sino-North Korean border are paying closer attention to military activity in their area.
Politics Watch: Wang Qishan’s Aide Becomes Vice Chairman of China’s Banking Regulator
◎ The appointment of Wang’s trusted aide to a top position in China’s banking regulator confirms our analysis that Xi is focusing his anti-corruption efforts on the financial sector.
Political Risk Watch: Beijing Training Session for Provincial-level Officials Hints at Turbulent Political Undercurrent
◎ The disquieting official coverage of Zhang Yang’s suicide and Dec. 6 education course for provincial-level officials hint at instability and unease in the CCP’s top civilian and military leadership.
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