What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Politics Watch: Civil Servant Wages Delayed as Local Gov’t Revenue Falls
◎ The CCP would find it increasingly difficult to exert control over Chinese society if it cannot pay civil servants.
Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim Summit Affirms Our Peace and Denuclearization Prediction
◎ We predicted in March after Kim met Xi in Beijing that North Korea would denuclearize and a peace treaty to end the Korean war would be signed.
Politics Watch: Rumor of Leadership Change in Hainan Hints at Hastening of Opening Up
◎ According to reports, Guangdong mayor Ma Xingrui was recently in Hainan Province making preparations to take over the post of Party secretary.
Society Watch: Truck Drivers Go on Strike as Social Tensions Mount in China
◎ The trucker strikes are the latest instance of mass social unrest that has broken out in China in recent months.
Risk Watch: Tax Probe of China’s Entertainment Industry Could See Shakeup of Film Stars
◎ Xi now appears to be closing in on the entertainment industry.
Geopolitics Watch: US Deal Puts ZTE on ‘Probation,’ Benefits US National Security
◎ The new ZTE deal could later be regarded as an important milestone by the U.S. in advancing national security interests in dealings with China.
Risk Watch: China Central Bank MLF Injection Lowers RMB Creditworthiness
◎ The renminbi devalued and property prices soared on three previous occasions when China resorted to irregular injection of liquidity.
Geopolitics Watch: Would Kim Jong Un Accept Senate Democrats Denuclearization Demands?
◎ The Democrats’ demands may end up helping Trump to seal a historic denuclearization and peace deal with Kim Jong Un.
Society Watch: Fan Bingbing Tax Evasion Probe and China’s Political Situation
◎ Fan Bingbing’s alleged “yin-yang contracts” have stirred a huge uproar in China.
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