What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Geopolitics Watch: Did Trump or Xi Win at the G20?
◎ Xi was likely seeking a pause going into the G20. The concessions which he made to gain the pause suggests a “pyrrhic victory.”
Influence Watch: The CCP is Hijacking the Discourse on Chinese Influence
◎ We identify three broad strategic lines which the CCP is pursuing to hijack the discourse on Chinese influence.
In the New China-US Cold War, Will Xi or Trump Blink First?
◎ Pence’s message to Beijing was firm and clear: “The United States … will not change course until China changes its ways.”
Risk Watch: Rising Business Failure and Unemployment Heighten Political Risk in China
◎ The CCP’s claim that migrants workers are returning home to partake in “entrepreneurship” is likely an attempt to put a positive spin on rising unemployment.
Geopolitics Watch: The CCP Turns to the Red Matrix in Full Court Press Against Trump
◎ Using the Red Matrix aggressively is a double-edged sword for the CCP when the U.S. is on high-alert for CCP influence and interference operations.
Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Xi Meeting at G20 Won’t Curb US Pressure
◎ Xi Jinping and Donald Trump likely find it to be in their interest to hold a summit at the G20 meeting in Buenos Aires.
Geopolitics Watch: Did the CCP’s ‘Gamble’ on the US Midterm Election Pay Off?
◎ The midterm results should have little effect on influencing the Sino-U.S. trade war.
Geopolitics Watch: What Xi and Wang’s Speeches Mean for the Trade War
◎ Xi may be planning to make concessions on trade, but the CCP system may not let him give up too much.
Trump’s Tough-love Policy for China
◎ Trump’s increasingly hard-nosed policies can steer China away from a course that is leading inevitably to outright conflict with the West.
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