What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Trump’s Demand for Reciprocity with China Can Win ‘Cold War II’
◎ A revived and vigorous Western information campaign would achieve a measure of informational reciprocity, exploit Chinese Communist vulnerability, and avoid a disastrous shooting war.
Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis of Pence’s Second China Speech, the Trade War, and Hong Kong
◎ Mike Pence generally adopted a more conciliatory tone towards China in his Wilson Center speech as compared with his fiery, hard-hitting Hudson Institute speech in October 2018.
Geopolitics Watch: Why a Trade ‘Mini-deal’ Won’t Change China-US Collision Course
◎ We look at some key factors that would make or break trade negotiations between America and China.
Politics Watch: How the CCP is Nullifying the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act
◎ When faced with popular uprisings or protests, the CCP typically resorts to the seemingly counterintuitive move of inciting the demonstrators or an entire population to violence.
After Syria Debacle, US Needs to Recommit to Indo-Pacific
◎ After the tragic Syria mistake, Washington cannot afford strategic ambiguity on Taiwan or any other place in Asia that is threatened by China or North Korea.
Politics Watch: Exposé of CCP Elite Before Delayed Fourth Plenum Hints at Three-way Struggle
◎ CCP factional struggles are “you die, I live” and revolve around the preservation of interests and political legacies.
Risk Watch: The CCP’s Strategic Intentions Behind the Hong Kong Exchange’s Bid for the London Exchange
◎ We have reason to suspect that the CCP has strategic intentions behind the HKEX move for the LSE.
Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis of the Sino-US ‘Mini-deal’
◎ The Trump administration is complementing the CCP’s delaying tactics with a “phase-by-phase” approach to a trade deal, and is falling into the CCP’s trap.
Risk Watch: The NBA, South Park, and the Ideological Turn in Sino-US Relations
◎ Within the span of a week, art imitated life and life imitated art regarding CCP censorship.
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