China Outlook 2025: Crises Set to Worsen for Xi and the CCP
Our China 2025 outlook contains 32 predictions covering eight categories.
OUR RESEARCH
Politics Watch: We Predicted the CPPCC Leadership with Over 70% Accuracy
◎ We scored 18 out of 25 for our CPPCC Two Sessions personnel forecast.
Politics Watch: Decoding the State Council Institutional Reforms
◎ The 13th NPC deliberated a plan to reform State Council institutions on March 13.
Personnel Watch: An Updated Two Sessions Forecast
◎ We present an updated personnel list based on analysis using our unique research methodology and risk assessment model.
Risk Watch: Another Three Hengfeng Bank Executives Probed
◎ Another three executives of Hengfeng Bank (Evergrowing Bank) were investigated for economic crimes.
Politics Watch: The Factional Struggle Behind China’s Constitutional Amendments
◎ We believe that Xi’s motivation for driving reform measures is his life-and-death struggle with the Jiang faction.
Politics Watch: What 19 Provincial Procuratorates Implementing ‘Unified Management’ of Lower Procuratorates Might Mean
◎ Xi’s various judicial reforms and his strengthening the Party’s leadership are aimed at weakening the power of local governments and strengthening the central government’s control over the provinces.
Risk Watch: Former Top Banking Regulator Talks Local Debt Risks
◎ Shang Fulin said that more attention should be paid to local government debt, particularly the debt of administrations below the provincial level.
Politics Watch: Decoding the PLA’s Endorsement of Constitutional Changes
◎ The Xi Jinping administration is mustering public opinion to pressure Chinese officials into supporting the constitutional changes.
Politics Watch: Chongqing Chief Talks ‘Political Pollution’ in the City
◎ Chen Min’er’s remarks at the Two Sessions shows that the factional struggle inside the CCP is still very intense.
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