China Outlook 2025: Crises Set to Worsen for Xi and the CCP
Our China 2025 outlook contains 32 predictions covering eight categories.
OUR RESEARCH
Society Watch: Fan Bingbing Tax Evasion Probe and China’s Political Situation
◎ Fan Bingbing’s alleged “yin-yang contracts” have stirred a huge uproar in China.
Geopolitics Watch: Decoding China’s Statement on Sino-US Trade Talks
◎ China’s statement suggests a stalemate in the trade talks.
Risk Watch: What Does China Energy Reserve Bond Default Signal?
◎ CERCG defaulting sends a different signal from the defaulting of private Chinese companies.
Risk Watch: Did China’s Industrial Profits Really Grow 15% in Early 2018?
◎ The Chinese regime has long had a problem with issuing fake statistical data.
Politics Watch: Anbang’s Wu Xiaohui Appeal Hints at Fierce CCP Internal Struggle
◎ Wu Xiaohui was a “white glove” for many Party elites.
Geopolitics Watch: Trump Ramps up Pressure on China with Trade and Religious Freedom
◎ The Trump administration appears to be maneuvering the CCP into a position where it has to liberalize China to ensure regime survivability.
Continued Scrubbing of Political Work Dept Hints at Instability in the PLA
◎ Xi’s authority over the military is not stable.
Geopolitics Watch: In Canceling North Korea Summit, Trump Gets Two Birds With One Stone
◎ We believe that the Singapore summit could still be held in June.
Politics Watch: After Sino-US Trade Talks, China Announces Plans to Open Up Telecom, Financial, Legal Services
◎ Beijing would find that it cannot cut the trade deficit only through importing U.S. goods.
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