China Outlook 2025: Crises Set to Worsen for Xi and the CCP
Our China 2025 outlook contains 32 predictions covering eight categories.
OUR RESEARCH
Risk Watch: China’s Social Security and Taxation Changes Could Spark Wave of Business Failure and Unemployment
◎ The tax and social security reform will sharply increase the financial burden of Chinese firms.
The ‘Taiwan Card’ and its Role in US-China Relations
◎ From Beijing’s perspective, virtually anything the United States does with Taiwan amounts to playing that particular “card.”
Geopolitics Watch: The CCP is Hijacking the ‘New Cold War’ Narrative
◎ In hijacking the new Cold War narrative, the CCP has resorted to old tropes and mixed in new disinformation
Geopolitics Watch: Kim’s Outreach to Trump Bodes Well for North Korea Denuclearization
◎ Kim’s latest gestures are a positive omen of further advancement in the denuclearization process.
Trump Must Set ‘America Firm’ Course with China to Protect Taiwan and US Interests
◎ China scholars and policy practitioners increasingly are accepting a painful and long-denied reality: four decades of Western engagement have failed to induce critical changes in the domestic and foreign policies of the Chinese Communist Party.
Geopolitics Watch: PRC ‘Taiwan Invasion’ Propaganda Backfires
◎ China could see its international standing diminish as America and Taiwan draw closer and take firmer action to counter the CCP’s Taiwan strategy.
Geopolitics Watch: US Affirms Existential Nature of the CCP Threat
◎ The U.S. recognizes that the China threat is everywhere and existential, and has made addressing the issue the top priority.
Risk Watch: Hunan’s Financial Troubles Spark Mass Social Unrest
◎ The fresh social tensions in Leiyang are the result of local government-business corruption and dwindling government coffers.
China’s Wealth Lures Nations to Shun Taiwan, Ignore Persecutions
◎ The People’s Republic of China has successfully defied the international order and is relentlessly remaking it in its own mold.
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