What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Geopolitics Watch: On Correctly Predicting Trends in China-US Relations
◎ “Strategic competition” between America and the PRC has stepped up several notches.
A Mini-Marshall Plan to Retain Allies
◎ Can the leaders of these small, weak nations be expected to muster greater courage and fortitude than one of the world’s great ethical icons?
Geopolitics Watch: America Presses on the CCP’s Vital Points
◎ CCP stubbornness and the Trump administration’s willingness to call out PRC misbehavior and apply pressure on the CCP’s vital points would lead to an escalation in Sino-U.S. tensions.
Kissinger’s Historic China Policy: A Retrospective
◎ For Kissinger, changing the Communist Party’s approach to domestic governance was separate from, and subservient to, global realpolitik concerns.
Geopolitics Watch: How the CCP Can Interfere in US Elections
◎ We believe that Trump and his administration have identified a very real threat to the upcoming U.S. midterm elections.
Risk Watch: The CCP’s ‘Controlled Blow Up’ of Local Debt Could Trigger a Black Swan
◎ The CCP is carrying out a controlled “blow up” of local government debts and transferring the risks to the private sector.
Geopolitics Watch: In Third Summit with Moon, Kim Successfully Sells Irreversible Denuclearization to N. Korea
◎ Kim may want a second meeting with Trump sooner rather than later.
Win the Trade War with China to Deter a Real War
◎ The outcome of the trade confrontation, and the lessons it teaches, will greatly influence the likelihood of actual conflict in the future.
Risk Watch: China’s Social Security and Taxation Changes Could Spark Wave of Business Failure and Unemployment
◎ The tax and social security reform will sharply increase the financial burden of Chinese firms.
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