China Outlook 2025: Crises Set to Worsen for Xi and the CCP
Our China 2025 outlook contains 32 predictions covering eight categories.
OUR RESEARCH
Risk Watch: The NBA, South Park, and the Ideological Turn in Sino-US Relations
◎ Within the span of a week, art imitated life and life imitated art regarding CCP censorship.
Politics Watch: Signs of Political Compromise and Crisis Surface as the PRC Marks its 70th Anniversary
◎ Why did Xi Jinping honor both Mao Zedong and a prominent Mao critic as part of the PRC’s 70th anniversary celebrations? We examine this and other signs.
Risk Watch: What the Police Shooting of a Protester Means for Hong Kong
◎ A Black Swan event for the Chinese regime could be just around the corner.
Risk Watch: The CCP Executes a ‘Judo Move’ to Shut Down Protests in Hong Kong
◎ We have identified four tactics which the CCP is utilizing to carry out its “judo move.”
One Country, Two Systems Did Not Work for America — It Won’t Work for China
◎ China’s communist leaders know that freedom, democracy and the rule of law are political contagions that could infect the vast Chinese population.
Risk Watch: The CCP Deploys ‘Chain Stratagems’ to Reassert Control Over Hong Kong
◎ Through the use of “chain stratagems,” the CCP is looking to turn a negative situation into a positive one for its regime.
Geopolitics Watch: In Chasing a ‘Monumental Deal,’ Trump Walks into the CCP’s Trap
◎ The CCP does not want a trade deal on Trump’s terms to begin with because such a deal would cause existential problems for the communist regime.
Politics Watch: The CCP Faces an Ideological Battle in Hong Kong
◎ Songs have the power to become strong rallying calls for protest movements.
Moment of Truth for Hong Kong — and For China
◎ The Hong Kong crisis has expanded into a campaign in the information warfare conducted by China against the West.
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