What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Geopolitics Watch: How the Trump-Xi G20 Meeting Could Affect Sino-US Relations in the Second Half of 2019
◎ Both President Trump and Xi Jinping have signaled strongly that they want to meet each other at the G20 in Osaka.
Is China About to Give America a ‘Bloody Nose’?
◎ The real challenge will be America’s response to China’s first-level retaliation, and whether Washington is prepared to move up the escalatory ladder.
Risk Watch: How the CCP Could Do a ‘Pearl Harbor’ to Survive the ‘New Cold War’
◎ The CCP could use conventional and “unrestricted warfare” strategies and tactics against the United States.
Geopolitics Watch: Escalation in US Policy on China Endangers the CCP
◎ The Trump administration has moved to challenge the regime on Huawei, human rights and Taiwan, as well as strengthen alliances and partnerships in the Indo-Pacific.
Henry Kissinger is Still Brilliant — and Still Wrong About China
◎ The Trump administration is confronting China multidimensionally — on trade, Taiwan, the South China Sea and North Korea — as no predecessor ever did.
Risk Watch: US Huawei Ban Could Trigger Black Swans in China
◎ Ren Zhengfei’s alternating rhetoric reveals that Huawei is at its “wit’s end.”
Geopolitics Watch: Will the Huawei Ban Bring China Back to the Negotiation Table?
◎ The CCP will find it very hard to return to negotiations in the current geopolitical climate.
Politics Watch: The Multiple Political Signals in Xi’s Jiangxi Tour
◎ Several political signals in Xi’s inspection trip to Jiangxi are meant for different groups within the Party.
Politics Watch: Probe of Liu Shiyu Sharply Raises Xi’s Political Risks
◎ The investigation of Liu Shiyu comes after an escalation in the Sino-U.S. trade war in early May and a worsening of bilateral relations.
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