What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
America’s Struggle with China and North Korea is for Keeps
◎ Existential struggles are not conducive to compromise, especially when the opposing sides see the competition in those stark terms.
Politics Watch: US Tariffs Heighten Political Dilemmas in China
◎ Beijing’s response to the trade war is shaped by the complexities of the CCP factional struggle.
Why We Predicted in January that America Would Raise Tariffs
◎ China is headed for tremendous change and political Black Swan events are on the horizon.
Keeping Trump’s Tariffs Commitment Will Mean Healthier US-China Relations
◎ Consistency and constancy in support of both America’s national interest and the rules-based international order have been in short supply over the past decade or more.
Geopolitics Watch: Will the Latest Round of Sino-US Trade Talks Lead to a Deal?
◎ We believe that there is a very good chance that China and the U.S. will get a trade agreement even as American tariffs go into effect.
Influence Watch: Why the CCP Fears an Ideological Battle and a ‘Clash of Civilizations’
◎ While the CCP has sought to equate itself with China, China and the Chinese regime are in fact two separate entities with opposing values.
Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis of Trump’s Tariff Threat
◎ How the CCP reacts to Trump’s tariff threat would determine the outcome of the trade talks.
Politics Watch: Public Appearances by Party Elders Hint at Heightened Political Crisis in China
◎ Jiang Zemin and Zeng Qinghong’s recent public appearance signals to the Jiang faction and allied interest groups that they still have clout in CCP elite politics.
Trump Must Rely on Human Rights Issue Against North Korea
◎ The Trump administration should continue to emphasize that North Korea’s nuclear program ultimately does not ensure regime survival but regime demise.
Search past entries by date
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- February 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- September 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017