What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Politics Watch: Early Analysis of the Hong Kong Liaison Office Personnel Reshuffle
◎ Luo Huining’s appointment does not signal that Beijing is taking a tougher stance on Hong Kong.
Geopolitics Watch: The ‘People’s Leader’ and the ‘Phase One’ Deal Signing
◎ Xi’s “people’s leader” tag is a sign of weakness, not strength.
China 2020 Outlook: Escalating Sino-US Rivalry Reshapes Global Geopolitics
◎ Presenting our China 2020 outlook.
Taiwan and the US are in Sync as Security Partners Against Communist China’s Aggression
◎ Washington’s view of its security partnership with Taiwan has evolved.
Geopolitics Watch: US Trade Deal Pressure Could Trigger Black Swans in China
◎ Messaging from China and the U.S. suggest that both sides want to make the deal happen.
Trump Should Return to What Worked on North Korea, and in the Cold War
◎ President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un are back to square one.
Politics Watch: Analyzing Xi’s Military Personnel Moves Before the ‘Phase One’ Trade Deal
◎ We believe that Xi’s personnel moves are designed to ensure troop loyalty as he will face greatly heightened political risks should he go ahead and approve the signing of the “phase one” deal.
Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis of the Sino-US ‘Phase One’ Trade Deal
◎ The “phase one” trade deal is a political “Catch-22” for Xi Jinping, whose “quan wei” and grip on power is far less secure than popularly believed.
Congress Should Finish What it Started and Help the Uyghurs
◎ The United States Congress has been determined not to remain on the moral sidelines as the Chinese Communist Party wields its dictatorial powers against the populations subject to its rule.
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