What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
OUR RESEARCH
Xi Enters 2024 Facing ‘Severe and Complex’ Political Troubles
Xi Jinping appears to be addressing his political problems by doubling down on the anti-corruption campaign.
China Outlook 2024: Political Black Swans Loom Large for Xi and the CCP
We expect many of the internal and external crises plaguing the PRC to continue and worsen for Xi and the CCP in 2024.
Risks Increase for Xi and the CCP as Foreign Investors Sour on China
Foreigners turning cold on China and the resulting capital flight appears to be having an impact on CCP factional politics.
China 2022 Outlook Review
Thirty-eight of those 41 predictions were verified over the year, giving us a forecasting accuracy of 92.7 percent.
Analyzing the Political Ramifications of Li Keqiang’s Sudden Death
We believe that there is a very low probability of Xi Jinping having attempted to assassinate Li Keqiang, given their long-standing political alliance and the fact that as a political force, Li posed no threat to Xi.
Why Beijing Went After Evergrande’s Hui Ka Yan
We believe that politics and economics are two driving factors behind the Xi Jinping leadership’s decision to subject Hui Ka Yan to “mandatory measures” at this time.
Xi’s Diplomatic No-shows Hint at Domestic Political Woes
Xi Jinping’s political problems will likely compound as more signs of the Chinese economy tanking emerge later this year and social instability rises.
Xi’s Political Pressures Skyrocket Amid ‘Perfect Storm’ of Crises
Economic worries are just one dimension of the challenges facing Beijing.
Official Data Deepens Pessimism Over the Chinese Economy
Several metrics suggest that China is in a recession and experiencing deflation.
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