◎ The following analysis was first published in the May 3, 2021 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
◎ Trump’s ZTE tweet suggests that our read of America and China making good progress in trade talks is correct.
◎ The Trump administration still has cards to play to keep pressuring the CCP.
◎ Should Beijing live up to its promises, the U.S. could eventually realize as much as 60 to 80 percent of its trade goals with China.
◎ Whether the coming peace talks would be trilateral or quadrilateral talks would hinge on the outcome of Sino-U.S. trade negotiations and the Trump-Kim summit.
◎ Kim’s willingness to make the closure of the Punggyeri test site public and the scrapping of “Pyongyang time” are signs that he is sincere about denuclearization.
◎ We believe that President Trump’s statements support our March analysis that the Korean Peninsula would denuclearize and progress towards peace.
◎ Kim could have to broker a deal with Xi where he exchanges his nuclear weapons for a lifting of sanctions and keeping his rule over North Korea.
◎ China’s response to America’s 5G push underscores the worries expressed in the leaked documents.
◎ Trump’s NSS correctly identifies the challenge posed by “competitor” China to America’s domestic security and global influence.