Xi’s Political Considerations and the Risk of Cross-Strait Crisis in 2022
There is an increased probability of cross-strait crisis in 2022.
Geopolitics

Geopolitics Watch: Korean Peninsula Denuke and Peace Could Hinge on US-North Korea Trust
◎ The timing and tempo of the U.S. strategies is vital to ensure mission success.

Geopolitics Watch: What North Korea, China ‘Backslide’ Means for Denuclearization, Sino-US Trade
◎ What we are seeing from Beijing and Pyongyang is textbook communist regime negotiation tactics.

Geopolitics Watch: Will Xi Really Strike Back at the US in Trade Clash?
◎ Xi is posturing for the moment, but future action depends on U.S. action.

Geopolitics Watch: Sino-US Trade Conflict a Catalyst for Big Change in China
◎ We believe that a full-blown Sino-U.S. trade war is the catalyst that would set China on the path of tremendous change.

Geopolitics Watch: The Potentially Dire Implications of US Tariffs on China
◎ We examine the “worst-case scenario” of what the implementation of U.S. tariffs might mean for America, China, and North Korea.

Geopolitics Watch: Pompeo Meeting with Xi Forebodes Trade War Truce
◎ Trump could still press ahead with tariffs or reduced tariffs on June 15 if there is a lack of mutual trust between the two sides.

Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim Summit Affirms Our Peace and Denuclearization Prediction
◎ We predicted in March after Kim met Xi in Beijing that North Korea would denuclearize and a peace treaty to end the Korean war would be signed.

Geopolitics Watch: US Deal Puts ZTE on ‘Probation,’ Benefits US National Security
◎ The new ZTE deal could later be regarded as an important milestone by the U.S. in advancing national security interests in dealings with China.

Geopolitics Watch: Would Kim Jong Un Accept Senate Democrats Denuclearization Demands?
◎ The Democrats’ demands may end up helping Trump to seal a historic denuclearization and peace deal with Kim Jong Un.