Geopolitics Watch: The Potentially Dire Implications of US Tariffs on China

On June 15, United States President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Chinese imports. Details from the White House and the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) include: The U.S. would impose a 25 percent tariff on $50 billion of Chinese goods that contain “industrially significant technologies,” including those related to China’s “Made in …

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Geopolitics Watch: Pompeo Meeting with Xi Forebodes Trade War Truce

On June 14, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing as part of an effort to secure international support for the United States on the denuclearization of North Korea. A day earlier, Pompeo had met with the foreign ministers of South Korea and Japan in Seoul to update them …

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Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim Summit Affirms Our Peace and Denuclearization Prediction

United States President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a joint statement at the end of their summit in Singapore on June 12. After signing the statement, Trump said that they would “take care of a very big and very dangerous problem for the world” while Kim said that they would …

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Geopolitics Watch: Trump Ramps up Pressure on China with Trade and Religious Freedom

On May 29, the White House released a statement on the continuation of United States trade action against China. According to the statement: The U.S. would impose 25 percent tariff on $50 billion of goods imported from China. Goods that contain industrially significant technology, including those related to the “Made in China 2025” program, would …

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Geopolitics Watch: On Xi, Kim, Dalai Lama, North Korea, and the Sino-US Trade Talks

After trade discussions between China and the United States in Beijing concluded on May 4, several geopolitical developments have unfolded which further affirm our analysis of positive Sino-U.S. talks on trade. North Korea The backdrop: May 6: A North Korean foreign ministry spokesperson was quoted by state media as saying that Washington was “misleading public …

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Politics Watch: More Signs of Good Progress on Sino-US Trade Talks

Most observers believe that that the Sino-U.S. trade discussions in Beijing from May 3 to May 4 did not pan out well for both sides and no deal was reached. There are also worries that an all-out trade war would come to pass. Based on our research, however, we believe that China and the U.S. …

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Geopolitics Watch: Forecasting the Korean Peninsula Peace and Denuclearization Process

More details of the Korean Peninsula peace and denuclearization process have emerged since the inter-Korean summit on April 27. On April 29, South Korean officials said that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un revealed at the inter-Korean meeting plans to make his previously announced closure of North Korea’s nuclear test site open to the international …

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Why We Predicted Coming Peace on the Korean Peninsula

By Don Tse and Larry Ong On April 27, the leaders of North and South Korea met at the demilitarized zone and signed a joint statement of “peace, prosperity and unification” of the Korean Peninsula. “South and North Korea confirmed the common goal of realizing, through complete denuclearization, a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula,” the statement read. …

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