Politics Watch: China’s $60 Billion Tariff List Looks Like a ‘White Flag’

In response to the United States plan to levy 25 percent tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods, China’s Ministry of Commerce announced $60 billion of tariffs on 5,207 items of American goods on Aug. 3. The tariffs range in rates from 5 percent to 25 percent. Previously, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) vowed to …

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Geopolitics Watch: Korean Peninsula Denuke and Peace Could Hinge on US-North Korea Trust

Before departing Pyongyang on July 7, United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that the round of talks he had with General Kim Yong Chol, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s top lieutenant, were “productive” and held in “good faith.” He added that progress was made on “almost all of the central issues” of …

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Geopolitics Watch: What North Korea, China ‘Backslide’ Means for Denuclearization, Sino-US Trade

Since the Trump-Kim summit in Singapore, signs have emerged which suggest that North Korea may not be working to denuclearize quickly. While United States President Donald Trump said that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un had promised to destroy a missile engines testing site, recent satellite images reveal no progress on that front. Instead, Pyongyang …

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Risk Watch: Can China’s New Negative List Help Defuse Trade Dispute with America?

China’s National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce jointly released a shortened negative list of industries where foreign industries are restricted or banned on June 28. The new list reduces the number of sectors restricted to foreigners from 63 to 48, and will go into effect on July 28. The sectors where …

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Geopolitics Watch: The Potentially Dire Implications of US Tariffs on China

On June 15, United States President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Chinese imports. Details from the White House and the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) include: The U.S. would impose a 25 percent tariff on $50 billion of Chinese goods that contain “industrially significant technologies,” including those related to China’s “Made in …

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Geopolitics Watch: Pompeo Meeting with Xi Forebodes Trade War Truce

On June 14, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing as part of an effort to secure international support for the United States on the denuclearization of North Korea. A day earlier, Pompeo had met with the foreign ministers of South Korea and Japan in Seoul to update them …

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Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim Summit Affirms Our Peace and Denuclearization Prediction

United States President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a joint statement at the end of their summit in Singapore on June 12. After signing the statement, Trump said that they would “take care of a very big and very dangerous problem for the world” while Kim said that they would …

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Geopolitics Watch: Trump Ramps up Pressure on China with Trade and Religious Freedom

On May 29, the White House released a statement on the continuation of United States trade action against China. According to the statement: The U.S. would impose 25 percent tariff on $50 billion of goods imported from China. Goods that contain industrially significant technology, including those related to the “Made in China 2025” program, would …

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Geopolitics Watch: On Xi, Kim, Dalai Lama, North Korea, and the Sino-US Trade Talks

After trade discussions between China and the United States in Beijing concluded on May 4, several geopolitical developments have unfolded which further affirm our analysis of positive Sino-U.S. talks on trade. North Korea The backdrop: May 6: A North Korean foreign ministry spokesperson was quoted by state media as saying that Washington was “misleading public …

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Politics Watch: More Signs of Good Progress on Sino-US Trade Talks

Most observers believe that that the Sino-U.S. trade discussions in Beijing from May 3 to May 4 did not pan out well for both sides and no deal was reached. There are also worries that an all-out trade war would come to pass. Based on our research, however, we believe that China and the U.S. …

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