China Outlook 2026: Xi to Focus on Domestic Stability Amid External Volatility
Our China 2026 outlook contains 28 predictions covering eight categories.
Geopolitics

China is Not an Enemy of the US and the World. But the CCP is.
◎ We offer seven points of response to an open letter on U.S. policy on China by a hundred U.S. scholars, former diplomats and military officials, and business leaders.

Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim DMZ Meeting Opens Door for N. Korea Denuke Resolution
◎ The Trump-Kim DMZ meeting somewhat cancels out China’s diplomatic effort in Pyongyang before the G20 summit in Osaka.

Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis on the Trump-Xi G20 Meeting in Osaka
◎ Should current trends hold, the Trump-Xi meeting at the G20 will likely do little to prevent an escalation of the Sino-U.S. “new cold war.”

Geopolitics Watch: How the Trump-Xi G20 Meeting Could Affect Sino-US Relations in the Second Half of 2019
◎ Both President Trump and Xi Jinping have signaled strongly that they want to meet each other at the G20 in Osaka.

Geopolitics Watch: Escalation in US Policy on China Endangers the CCP
◎ The Trump administration has moved to challenge the regime on Huawei, human rights and Taiwan, as well as strengthen alliances and partnerships in the Indo-Pacific.

Geopolitics Watch: Will the Huawei Ban Bring China Back to the Negotiation Table?
◎ The CCP will find it very hard to return to negotiations in the current geopolitical climate.

Geopolitics Watch: Will the Latest Round of Sino-US Trade Talks Lead to a Deal?
◎ We believe that there is a very good chance that China and the U.S. will get a trade agreement even as American tariffs go into effect.

Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis of Trump’s Tariff Threat
◎ How the CCP reacts to Trump’s tariff threat would determine the outcome of the trade talks.

Geopolitics Watch: The CCP is Exploiting US Trade Talks to Further its Domination Agenda
◎ The CCP will likely try to drag out the trade negotiations, the implementation of the trade deal, and the enforcement mediation process to gain an advantage in the “new cold war.”
