Win the Trade War with China to Deter a Real War

By Joseph Bosco President Trump just took the latest escalatory move in a trade war the United States and China are vigorously waging as either a proxy for a shooting war, or a run-up to one. The outcome of the trade confrontation, and the lessons it teaches, will greatly influence the likelihood of actual conflict in the future. …

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Geopolitics Watch: The CCP Misreads America’s China Policy Revolution

The passing of the United States 2019 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) is a watershed moment in Sino-U.S. relations, and the clearest indication yet that America’s labeling of China as a “strategic competitor” instead of a “strategic partner” is not just a matter of semantics. Meanwhile, the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) latest propaganda suggests that …

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Geopolitics Watch: The Potentially Dire Implications of US Tariffs on China

On June 15, United States President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Chinese imports. Details from the White House and the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) include: The U.S. would impose a 25 percent tariff on $50 billion of Chinese goods that contain “industrially significant technologies,” including those related to China’s “Made in …

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Geopolitics Watch: US Deal Puts ZTE on ‘Probation,’ Benefits US National Security

On June 7, United States Commerce Department Secretary Wilbur Ross announced a deal to allow Chinese telecommunications company ZTE to resume business. Under the deal, ZTE would have to: Pay a $1 billion fine and put $400 million in escrow; Change its board and management within 30 days; Retain a new U.S.-selected compliance team selected …

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Geopolitics Watch: Would Kim Jong Un Accept Senate Democrats Denuclearization Demands?

In a letter to United States President Donald Trump, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer and other top Senate Democrats listed five demands that North Korea must meet before they would approve the lifting of sanctions on Pyongyang. The demands include: 1) Dismantle or remove every single one of North Korea’s nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons; …

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Geopolitics Watch: Decoding China’s Statement on Sino-US Trade Talks

China and the United States held the third round of high-level trade talks in Beijing from June 2 to June 3. U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross led lower level officials in meetings at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse with a Chinese team led by State Council vice premier Liu He. Unlike the previous round of trade …

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Geopolitics Watch: In Canceling North Korea Summit, Trump Gets Two Birds With One Stone

On May 24, United States President Donald Trump scrapped a planned summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore. SinoInsider analyzed earlier that the Sino-U.S. trade negotiations are tied with North Korean denuclearization and peace talks. We believe that Trump’s move to call off the June 12 Singapore summit is ultimately aimed at …

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Geopolitics Watch: Why is North Korea Canceling South Korean Talks, Threatening Trump-Kim Summit?

On May 16, North Korean state media KCNA said that North Korea is suspending high-level talks with South Korea scheduled for the day in light of a joint military exercise between the United States and South Korea. KCNA claimed that the military drills, known as Max Thunder, was a “flagrant challenge” to the Panmunjom Declaration, …

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Geopolitics Watch: Reading Trump’s ZTE Tweet, Sino-US Trade, and North Korea

President Donald Trump’s May 13 tweet about working with Chinese leader Xi Jinping to help ZTE find “a way to get back into business, fast” raised many eyebrows. (See our earlier article for more on the ZTE ban.) SinoInsider, however, has been anticipating a U.S. reprieve since the conclusion of the Sino-U.S. trade talks in …

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Politics Watch: Subtle Signals of Sino-US Trade Progress Surface

On May 7, Chinese financial magazine Caixin carried an interview with new People’s Bank of China president Yi Gang. Yi said that China would persevere with its strategy of opening up financial markets, a decision based on national circumstances. He added that China’s opening up would continue regardless of trade tensions with the United States. …

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