◎ How the U.S. and the world respond to the PRC’s statements and actions concerning Hong Kong over the coming days and weeks would determine whether or not the world sees another Tiananmen-style incident.
◎ We believe that the CCP’s response to the “Stay the Course” letter reveals deep insecurities and fears.
◎ Black Swan events could be triggered on the mainland as the situation in Hong Kong deteriorates.
◎ We believe that the CCP is suspecting that the U.S. has decided to use the Falun Gong issue against the PRC.
◎ We offer seven points of response to an open letter on U.S. policy on China by a hundred U.S. scholars, former diplomats and military officials, and business leaders.
◎ Unless Xi resolves factional politics at home, China and the U.S. will find it very hard to get a trade deal.
◎ A Sino-U.S. cold war is unavoidable and will be a zero-sum competition.
◎ Xi’s political rivals are “weaponizing” Party orthodoxy against the Xi camp in Hong Kong affairs.
◎ The CCP could use conventional and “unrestricted warfare” strategies and tactics against the United States.