Continued Scrubbing of Political Work Dept Hints at Instability in the PLA

The People’s Liberation Army Daily (PLA Daily) recently published two articles that called for a purge of the “pernicious influence” of ex-Central Military Commission vice chairs Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou. Meanwhile, there have been personnel reshuffles in the political work departments of the CMC and the three military branches (army, navy, air force). The …

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The Deeper Implications of China’s Armed Police Reform

By Janet Liu and Larry Ong Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s power consolidation at the 19th Party Congress and the scrapping of presidential term limits at the Two Sessions were the recent focus of international scrutiny. In the same period, two reforms to the People’s Armed Police (PAP) were passed without much fanfare. On Jan. 1, …

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Politics Watch: Decoding the PLA’s Endorsement of Constitutional Changes

On March 7, the military delegation to the 13th National People’s Congress (NPC) session publicly endorsed the amendments to the state constitution that were proposed at the Central Committee’s Second Plenum. On March 8, NPC delegates at the second meeting of the 13th NPC’s first session reviewed and deliberated a draft of the proposed constitutional …

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Military Watch: China’s Central Theater Command Gets a New Deputy Commander

Zhang Xudong, the former ground force commander of the Central Theater Command (CTC), is now the CTC’s deputy commander, according to a Feb. 13 report on Beijing’s Shijingshan District government website. The government website article also noted that air force general Yi Xiaoguang, the ex-deputy chief of general staff of the old General Staff Department, …

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Military Watch: Xi Promotes Five ‘New Guard’ Generals

On Jan. 4, four army generals were promoted to the rank of major general. Three of the generals were cadres who oversaw political work, while the remaining general was a deputy chief of staff. On Jan. 9, a navy general from Unit 91811 based in Guangdong’s Chaozhou City was elevated to major general. The backdrop: …

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Prosecution of Fang Fenghui Confirms Our Coup Analysis

On Sept. 17, 2017, we analyzed that Fang Fenghui and Zhang Yang may be involved in a failed coup against the Xi Jinping leadership. In light of Fang’s investigation being made official on Jan. 9, we have made our full report available below. Major Political and Military Shakeup Hints at Failed Coup Attempt Against Xi …

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Troop Reform Nearly Complete as Senior Commanders of Provincial Military Districts Join Regional Party Committees

Since the conclusion of the 19th Party Congress in October, the senior commanders of several provincial military districts have joined their respective provincial Party Standing Committees. As of Jan. 4, at least 15 provinces have uniformed members in the top provincial Party ranks. The fifteen uniformed Standing Committee members: The senior officers who joined the …

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Xi Displays Control Over Military at Mass Mobilization Drill

Xi Jinping addressed troops gathered for a mass mobilization drill at a military base in northern China on Jan. 3. All members of the Central Military Commission (CMC) and leading commanders of key departments were in attendance. The drill involved over 7,000 troops and nearly 300 tanks and other military vehicles. Other People’s Liberation Army …

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Increasing Odds of War on Korean Peninsula Could Inspire Internal Action Against Kim Jong Un

With North Korea unwilling to abandon its nuclear program and America dropping hints that the military option is on the cards in the event of further provocation, there’s an increased chance of conflict breaking out on the Korean Peninsula. However, external pressure against Pyongyang could end up triggering internal conflict in North Korea and lead …

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