◎ CCP factional struggles are “you die, I live” and revolve around the preservation of interests and political legacies.
◎ Why did Xi Jinping honor both Mao Zedong and a prominent Mao critic as part of the PRC’s 70th anniversary celebrations? We examine this and other signs.
◎ Jiang Zemin and Zeng Qinghong’s recent public appearance signals to the Jiang faction and allied interest groups that they still have clout in CCP elite politics.
◎ Gu Zhuoheng’s tweets and Cui Yongyuan’s “reappearance” appear to connect a trail of breadcrumbs which point to an intensification of the CCP factional struggle.
◎ The spotlighting of qigong at the Two Sessions is connected with the “you die, I live” factional struggle in the CCP.
Read morePolitics Watch: A Black Swan Leading Indicator Surfaces at the Two Sessions
◎ There is a pattern in recent years of “explosive information” about CCP elites being revealed during crucial periods in the factional struggle.
◎ Xi is likely seeking to strengthen his control over the military in a crucial period.
Read morePolitics Watch: Decoding the Convening of Enlarged Military Meetings
◎ We believe that Xi Jinping presently faces critical levels of political risk given the political and economic problems in the regime.
Read morePolitics Watch: Xi’s Reform Anniversary Speech Signals Political Crisis in China
◎ Xi faces very high levels of political risk in the next 90 days.
Read morePolitics Watch: Xi’s Delivery of Trade Commitments Hinges on the CCP Factional Struggle
◎ We identify three broad strategic lines which the CCP is pursuing to hijack the discourse on Chinese influence.
Read moreInfluence Watch: The CCP is Hijacking the Discourse on Chinese Influence