Beijing doubles down on security amid slowing economy
The Chinese Communist Party’s early response to China’s gloomy economic outlook was doubling down on regime security.
POLITICS

19th Congress Forecast: CCP Central Committee Scenario
◎ Presenting our forecast of which officials will make the 19th Central Committee.

Analysis: Xi Jinping May Become CCP Chairman at 19th Congress
◎ Xi may be preparing to seize absolute authority in the regime at the 19th Party Congress.

19th Party Congress Forecast: Politburo and Expanded Politburo Scenario
◎ Presenting our Politburo and expanded Politburo forecast.

China’s Securities Chief Mentions Failed Coup at 19th Congress
◎ Liu’s remarks hint at a coup attempt against Xi Jinping, and the officials he listed are part of Jiang Zemin’s faction.

How ‘Xi Jinping Thought’ May be Added to China’s Constitution
◎ We believe that Xi will emerge from the 19th Congress as a “General Secretary Plus.”

Decoding Xi Jinping’s 19th Congress Report: Political Signals
◎ If Xi is already thinking about a third term, he won’t designate a successor at the 19th Congress.

19th Party Congress Forecast: An Updated Standing Committee Scenario
◎ Xi will flexibly interpret existing Communist Party norms to achieve two goals.

China Repatriating Wanted American Spells Trouble for Guo Wengui
◎ Based on our analysis, Guo is deeply involved in the power struggle between Xi Jinping and the Jiang Zemin faction.

Seventh Plenum Report Cues Xi Surpassing Jiang Zemin, Hu Jintao
◎ How “Xi Jinping Thought” will eventually be phrased in the CCP constitution will be a bellwether of Xi’s political strength.
