Beijing’s Risks Rise as Trump Starts on Foreign Policy Agenda
President Trump has been moving at pace to bring about peace in the Middle East and Europe so that his administration can focus on the PRC.
Geopolitics

Geopolitics Watch: Xi’s Europe Trip, the Sino-US Trade War, & Global Geopolitics
◎ The stalemate in Sino-U.S. trade negotiations has led to a stalemate in global geopolitics.

Geopolitics Watch: N. Korea Denuke ‘Stalemate’ and the Sino-US Trade War
◎ Any “backsliding” by North Korea at this stage would be counterproductive for Kim Jong Un as it would likely cause the U.S. to redouble its focus on resolving trade with China.

Geopolitics Watch: Early Analysis & Forecast on Extended Sino-US Trade Talks
◎ The CCP factional struggle will escalate as Xi tries to force through reforms to meet U.S. trade demands.

Geopolitics Watch: Xi Lays Groundwork for Trade Concessions in State Media
◎ The propaganda narratives in Xinhua lay the groundwork for Xi to agree to U.S. demands on sensitive issues like structural reform without losing face at home.

Geopolitics Watch: Will China and America Reach a Real Trade Deal By March 1?
◎ Xi has pressing need to compromise, and Trump will not accept a “superficial” trade deal.

Geopolitics Watch: US Strategic Advantages of Holding the Second Trump-Kim Meeting in Vietnam
◎ Manufacturers may eventually shift out of China to Vietnam and an economically liberalized North Korea.

Geopolitics Watch: Sino-US Trade Enforcement and the ZTE ‘Probation’ Model
◎ America could have the ZTE model in mind in enforcing the trade deal.

Geopolitics Watch: Xi Summoning Kim to Beijing a Goodwill Gesture to America
◎ Xi could have summoned Kim to Beijing to signal cooperation with America on North Korean denuclearization and improve the odds of successful trade talks.

No ‘Middle Way’ in US-China Struggle — China Must Change
◎ From its establishment, Communist China has been committed to the destruction or the drastic reconstruction of the global order
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University