Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Xi Meeting at G20 Won’t Curb US Pressure

Summary: Xi Jinping and Donald Trump likely find it to be in their interest to hold a summit at the G20 meeting in Buenos Aires. The meeting will unlikely lead to a concrete deal to resolve the Sino-U.S. trade conflict. Xi will not be able to meet the Trump administration’s asks due to political and …

Read moreGeopolitics Watch: Trump-Xi Meeting at G20 Won’t Curb US Pressure

Geopolitics Watch: What Xi and Wang’s Speeches Mean for the Trade War

Summary Xi Jinping and Wang Qishan gave speeches recently in Shanghai and Singapore respectively. From their speeches, we believe that the CCP may still be having wishful thinking about its domestic situation, its influence capabilities, and geopolitical trends. The result of the 2018 U.S. midterm election will not change America’s policy shift on China. The …

Read moreGeopolitics Watch: What Xi and Wang’s Speeches Mean for the Trade War

Trump’s Tough-love Policy for China

President Donald Trump is doing a huge favor for Chinese leader Xi Jinping — and he should keep doing it. His administration’s increasingly hard-nosed policies can steer China away from a course that is leading inevitably to outright conflict with the West. Avoiding a U.S.-China war would be a genuine win-win outcome, not another of the rhetorical charades that, up …

Read moreTrump’s Tough-love Policy for China

Politics Watch: Xi Consolidates Control Over Spy Apparatus with Local Gov’t Reforms

Provincial governments in China have been recently announcing that the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee has approved their plans for institutional reform. According to the plans that have been released, jurisdiction over provincial, county, and city national security agencies have been transferred from local governments to the National Security Commission (NSC) members in local Party …

Read morePolitics Watch: Xi Consolidates Control Over Spy Apparatus with Local Gov’t Reforms

Politics Watch: Peking University’s New Party Secretary is on ‘Work Probation’

On Oct. 23, Peking University appointed Qiu Shuiping as its new Party secretary. Qiu was formerly the chief justice of the high court in Shanxi Province, and previously served for a year as Party secretary of the Beijing bureau of the Ministry of State Security. Because of Qiu’s intelligence background, some observers believe that his …

Read morePolitics Watch: Peking University’s New Party Secretary is on ‘Work Probation’

Politics Watch: Decoding Xi’s ‘Subdued’ Southern Tour

Xi Jinping went on an inspection tour in Guangdong from Oct. 22 to Oct. 25. At each stop, he signaled strongly that China should continue to reform and open up. On the last day of his trip, Xi visited the Southern Theater Command headquarters in Guangzhou. Observers have noted that mainland media was oddly quiet …

Read morePolitics Watch: Decoding Xi’s ‘Subdued’ Southern Tour

The CCP Fourth Plenum and Geopolitics

The Chinese Communist Party traditionally holds the plenary session (an important all-hands meeting of the Central Committee) after the annual Two Sessions political conclave around the September to November period. Usually, the plenums are announced weeks or even months ahead of their convening. Oddly, the CCP has not yet announced anything on the Fourth Plenum …

Read moreThe CCP Fourth Plenum and Geopolitics

The World is Trapped in Red China’s Matrix

By Don Tse and Larry Ong Summary Chinese Communist Party has long carried out influence operations to survive and dominate. Decades of CCP influence activity has created a “Red Matrix,” or an informational environment that is pro-China and missing critical knowledge about the Party and its operations. The Soviet Iron Curtain served to “block out” …

Read moreThe World is Trapped in Red China’s Matrix

Politics Watch: Fang Fenghui’s Expulsion, Meng Hongwei’s Arrest, and the Factional ‘Soft Coup’

The Chinese Communist Party Central Committee announced the expulsion of former generals Fang Fenghui and Zhang Yang from the Party on Oct. 16. Both generals, who previously sat on the Central Military Commission, were found guilty of corruption and will have their illicit proceeds confiscated. Fang’s case was handed over to prosecutors. State media criticized …

Read morePolitics Watch: Fang Fenghui’s Expulsion, Meng Hongwei’s Arrest, and the Factional ‘Soft Coup’

Politics Watch: Meng Hongwei Purge Hints at ‘Soft Coup’ Against Xi

The sudden vanishing and investigation of Interpol chief Meng Hongwei has called renewed attention to the Chinese Communist Party’s pernicious behavior, human rights abuses, and political infighting. Based on our research and understanding of CCP elite politics, we believe that the unusual and abrupt purge of Meng is a sign of serious trouble in the …

Read morePolitics Watch: Meng Hongwei Purge Hints at ‘Soft Coup’ Against Xi