Three Takeaways From China’s 2025 Two Sessions
Li’s work report indicates that Beijing will rely heavily on issuing debt to meet its 2025 growth target.
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Risk Watch: US ZTE Ban Exposes China’s Tech Industry Vulnerabilities
◎ American action against ZTE and Huawei is in line with Trump’s National Security Strategy.

Are Cultural Exchanges Next in Trump’s Push to Get China to Play Fair?
◎ Reciprocity in cultural exchanges would help to resolve the national security threat posed by the CCP and keep Beijing on the back foot in the long run.

Risk Watch: Is Rare Earth Really China’s ‘Secret Weapon’ in a Trade War with America?
◎ The CCP wouldn’t risk a “rare earth war.”

Risk Watch: Can China Withstand a Trade War?
◎ The CCP faces seven pressing problems that render it unable to withstand a trade war with America.

The Geopolitical Contest Behind Kim Jong Un’s Visit to China
◎ Kim could have to broker a deal with Xi where he exchanges his nuclear weapons for a lifting of sanctions and keeping his rule over North Korea.

Politics Watch: Decoding China’s Party and State Institutional Reforms
◎ On March 21, Chinese state media published the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) plan for reforming its Party and state institutions.

Over 71% Accurate: Our Predictions for China’s New Vice Premiers, State Councilors, Ministers
◎ On March 19, the 13th National People’s Congress elected new vice premiers, state councilors, ministers, committee heads, and key central bank appointees.

How We Correctly Predicted Wang Qishan as China’s Vice President
◎ To rookie and veteran observers, the fate of Wang Qishan is perhaps one of the more perplexing developments in recent CCP politics.

Politics Watch: Xi’s Former Top Aide Obliquely Confirms Coup by Rivals
◎ Ding Xuexiang recently made statements that confirm the intensity of the ongoing CCP factional struggle.
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University