What Trump’s Second Term Means for China
Xi and the CCP will almost certainly find their troubles compounded should Trump press ahead with his China agenda over the next four years.
recommended
Risk Watch: Is Rare Earth Really China’s ‘Secret Weapon’ in a Trade War with America?
◎ The CCP wouldn’t risk a “rare earth war.”
Risk Watch: Can China Withstand a Trade War?
◎ The CCP faces seven pressing problems that render it unable to withstand a trade war with America.
The Geopolitical Contest Behind Kim Jong Un’s Visit to China
◎ Kim could have to broker a deal with Xi where he exchanges his nuclear weapons for a lifting of sanctions and keeping his rule over North Korea.
Politics Watch: Decoding China’s Party and State Institutional Reforms
◎ On March 21, Chinese state media published the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) plan for reforming its Party and state institutions.
Over 71% Accurate: Our Predictions for China’s New Vice Premiers, State Councilors, Ministers
◎ On March 19, the 13th National People’s Congress elected new vice premiers, state councilors, ministers, committee heads, and key central bank appointees.
How We Correctly Predicted Wang Qishan as China’s Vice President
◎ To rookie and veteran observers, the fate of Wang Qishan is perhaps one of the more perplexing developments in recent CCP politics.
Politics Watch: Xi’s Former Top Aide Obliquely Confirms Coup by Rivals
◎ Ding Xuexiang recently made statements that confirm the intensity of the ongoing CCP factional struggle.
Why Xi Jinping Removed China’s Presidential Term Limit
◎ We believe that the answer to why Xi removed term limits for the Chinese presidency can be found in an analysis of CCP factional struggle.
Risk Watch: Chinese Regulators Take Over Anbang, Prosecute Chairman Wu Xiaohui
◎ The prosecution of Wu Xiaohui is a classic “kill chickens to scare monkeys” move by the Xi administration.