In Beijing, Xi and Trump agree to ‘constructive strategic stability’ in US-China relations
CCP propaganda has used the Trump trip to subtly weave the narrative of a U.S. “change of heart” and a PRC “victory” in major power competition.
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Politics Watch: Fourth Plenum Timing and Agenda Confirm Political Crisis in China
◎ It is becoming increasingly clear that the Sino-U.S. trade agreement has placed the Xi leadership in a Catch-22 situation.

Geopolitics Watch: The CCP ‘Advances to Retreat’ on Hong Kong
◎ The CCP’s goal of “advancing to retreat” is to calm things down in the city and focus its energies instead on other pressing matters, such as the Sino-U.S. trade war and the 2020 Taiwan presidential election.

Geopolitics Watch: The US and the CCP Have Reached a Watershed Moment on Hong Kong
◎ How the U.S. and the world respond to the PRC’s statements and actions concerning Hong Kong over the coming days and weeks would determine whether or not the world sees another Tiananmen-style incident.

Influence Watch: Why the CCP Reacted Strongly to an Open Letter Supporting Trump’s China Policy
◎ We believe that the CCP’s response to the “Stay the Course” letter reveals deep insecurities and fears.

Politics Watch: Violence in Hong Kong and the CCP Factional Struggle
◎ Black Swan events could be triggered on the mainland as the situation in Hong Kong deteriorates.

Geopolitics Watch: Why the CCP Might Think That the US Has Gone ‘Nuclear’ with Human Rights
◎ We believe that the CCP is suspecting that the U.S. has decided to use the Falun Gong issue against the PRC.

China is Not an Enemy of the US and the World. But the CCP is.
◎ We offer seven points of response to an open letter on U.S. policy on China by a hundred U.S. scholars, former diplomats and military officials, and business leaders.

Politics Watch: G20 ‘Loser’ Xi Faces Increased Political Risks at Home
◎ Unless Xi resolves factional politics at home, China and the U.S. will find it very hard to get a trade deal.

Risk Watch: The Sino-US ‘Battle of Waterloo’ is Approaching
◎ A Sino-U.S. cold war is unavoidable and will be a zero-sum competition.
