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Business

Behind China’s 2020 Economic Numbers

January 24, 2021January 21, 2021

◎ A closer look at official data reveals a wobbly economy on the verge of crisis, and not solid “recovery” or healthy “growth.”

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Categories Business, RISK vs OPP, Subscription Tags 2020 GDP, China, Chinese Communist Party

What Happened to Ant Group’s World-Record IPO?

January 17, 2021November 20, 2020

◎ Ma’s speech is unlikely the driving reason behind Beijing pulling the plug on Ant.

Read moreWhat Happened to Ant Group’s World-Record IPO?

Categories Business, POLITICS, RISK vs OPP Tags Ant Group, China, Chinese Communist Party, Jack Ma

Risk Watch: Wuhan Epidemic Paralyzes China’s Economy, Threatening Global Impact

February 18, 2020February 17, 2020

◎ A wave of economic shocks is coming to countries with significant China trade as the novel coronavirus epidemic halts production, travel, and supply chains.


Read moreRisk Watch: Wuhan Epidemic Paralyzes China’s Economy, Threatening Global Impact

Categories Business, RECOMMENDED, RISK vs OPP Tags China, Chinese Communist Party, COVID-19, Wuhan coronavirus outbreak

Risk Watch: The CCP’s Strategic Intentions Behind the Hong Kong Exchange’s Bid for the London Exchange

October 13, 2019

◎ We have reason to suspect that the CCP has strategic intentions behind the HKEX move for the LSE.

Read moreRisk Watch: The CCP’s Strategic Intentions Behind the Hong Kong Exchange’s Bid for the London Exchange

Categories Business, RISK vs OPP Tags China, Chinese Communist Party, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd, London Stock Exchange Plc, United States

Risk Watch: China Economic Rebound? Major Shareholders Vote with Their Feet

April 18, 2019April 17, 2019

◎China will find it hard to sustain the economic “recovery” in April. ◎Risks of a stock market crash are greater than before.

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Categories Business, Subscription Tags China, Chinese economy, Sino-US trade war

Risk Watch: China Broadens Issuance of Local Government Bonds to Defer Crisis

April 18, 2019April 8, 2019

◎ The CCP is putting its political credit on the line by making local bonds available over the counter.

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Categories Business, RISK vs OPP, Subscription Tags China, Chinese Communist Party, Debt crisis, Local debt, Local government bonds

Risk Watch: The Chinese Stock Market Plunge and Factional Politics

March 12, 2019

◎ The timing of the plunge and other odd developments suggest that CCP factional politics could be a factor influencing the recent sell-offs.

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Categories Business, RISK vs OPP, Subscription Tags China, China Securities Co., Chinese Communist Party, Citic Securities, Huatai Securities, Jiang faction, Liu Yunshan Liu Lefei, Ltd., People’s Insurance Co., Xi Jinping

Risk Watch: Chinese Online Property ‘Unicorn’ Aiwujiwu Shuts Down

February 23, 2019

◎ The collapse of Aiwujiwu and pinganfang.com suggests that the business model of “property + financing + internet services” is failing in China.

Read moreRisk Watch: Chinese Online Property ‘Unicorn’ Aiwujiwu Shuts Down

Categories Business, RISK vs OPP Tags Aiwujiwu, China, pinganfang.com

Risk Watch: Campaign to Curb P2Ps Heightens Political Risk for the CCP

February 14, 2019January 23, 2019

◎ The CCP’s P2P campaign will increase risks for China’s financial system.

Read moreRisk Watch: Campaign to Curb P2Ps Heightens Political Risk for the CCP

Categories Business Tags CCP, China, Chinese economy, P2P

Risk Watch: Crashing China Property Stocks in Hong Kong Forebode Bubble Crisis

February 14, 2019January 18, 2019

◎ Mainland property developers will likely face severe financing problems in 2019.

Read moreRisk Watch: Crashing China Property Stocks in Hong Kong Forebode Bubble Crisis

Categories Business Tags China, Jiayuan Group, Jiayuan International, Property Bubble
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