Official Data, Other Signs Hint at Bad State of China’s Economy
China’s sole engine driving growth is losing steam.
BUSINESS
Risk Watch: Chinese Online Property ‘Unicorn’ Aiwujiwu Shuts Down
◎ The collapse of Aiwujiwu and pinganfang.com suggests that the business model of “property + financing + internet services” is failing in China.
Risk Watch: Campaign to Curb P2Ps Heightens Political Risk for the CCP
◎ The CCP’s P2P campaign will increase risks for China’s financial system.
Risk Watch: Crashing China Property Stocks in Hong Kong Forebode Bubble Crisis
◎ Mainland property developers will likely face severe financing problems in 2019.
Risk Watch: Call for PBoC to Buy A-shares Comes as Confidence in Stock Markets Fall
◎ Major shareholders in China could be thinking of or taking steps to dump newly unrestricted shares in the wake of a worsening economy and slumping market confidence.
Risk Watch: Rising Business Failure and Unemployment Heighten Political Risk in China
◎ The CCP’s claim that migrants workers are returning home to partake in “entrepreneurship” is likely an attempt to put a positive spin on rising unemployment.
Risk Watch: Declining Export Surplus Will Affect China’s Forex Earnings
◎ China’s declining export surplus has affected the country’s foreign exchange earnings.
Risk Watch: The CCP’s ‘Controlled Blow Up’ of Local Debt Could Trigger a Black Swan
◎ The CCP is carrying out a controlled “blow up” of local government debts and transferring the risks to the private sector.
Risk Watch: China’s Social Security and Taxation Changes Could Spark Wave of Business Failure and Unemployment
◎ The tax and social security reform will sharply increase the financial burden of Chinese firms.
Risk Watch: China’s State-owned Enterprise Debt Financing ‘Ponzi Scheme’
◎ SOEs cannot pay interest on their financing liabilities even if they are granted very favorable interest rates, let alone pay principle.