Xi’s Political Considerations and the Risk of Cross-Strait Crisis in 2022
There is an increased probability of cross-strait crisis in 2022.
IN-DEPTH

Are Cultural Exchanges Next in Trump’s Push to Get China to Play Fair?
◎ Reciprocity in cultural exchanges would help to resolve the national security threat posed by the CCP and keep Beijing on the back foot in the long run.

Risk Watch: Can China Withstand a Trade War?
◎ The CCP faces seven pressing problems that render it unable to withstand a trade war with America.

Fu Zhenghua, Factional Struggle, and Scrubbing the Security and Law Apparatus
◎ We believe that Fu Zhenghua’s promotion doesn’t guarantee his safety.

How We Correctly Predicted Wang Qishan as China’s Vice President
◎ To rookie and veteran observers, the fate of Wang Qishan is perhaps one of the more perplexing developments in recent CCP politics.

Decoding China’s Proposal to Merge Banking, Insurance Regulators
◎ The Xi Jinping administration’s adoption of a CB2C model reveals three things about the overall situation in China.

Personnel Watch: An Updated Two Sessions Forecast
◎ We present an updated personnel list based on analysis using our unique research methodology and risk assessment model.

Why Xi Jinping Removed China’s Presidential Term Limit
◎ We believe that the answer to why Xi removed term limits for the Chinese presidency can be found in an analysis of CCP factional struggle.

Leaner and Meaner: Why China’s Financial Oversight Agencies May be Merging
◎ Resolving risks in China’s financial sector is the Xi Jinping administration’s most urgent and important task of 2018.

China’s Five Strategies for Economic Expansion in the Digital Age
◎ The CCP appears to be simultaneously resolving China’s currency oversupply issue and seeking leadership in the digital currency while threatening the dollar’s dominance through five strategies.