Xi’s Political Considerations and the Risk of Cross-Strait Crisis in 2022
There is an increased probability of cross-strait crisis in 2022.
IN-DEPTH

Are Cultural Exchanges Next in Trump’s Push to Get China to Play Fair?
◎ Reciprocity in cultural exchanges would help to resolve the national security threat posed by the CCP and keep Beijing on the back foot in the long run.

Risk Watch: Can China Withstand a Trade War?
◎ The CCP faces seven pressing problems that render it unable to withstand a trade war with America.

Fu Zhenghua, Factional Struggle, and Scrubbing the Security and Law Apparatus
◎ We believe that Fu Zhenghua’s promotion doesn’t guarantee his safety.

How We Correctly Predicted Wang Qishan as China’s Vice President
◎ To rookie and veteran observers, the fate of Wang Qishan is perhaps one of the more perplexing developments in recent CCP politics.

Decoding China’s Proposal to Merge Banking, Insurance Regulators
◎ The Xi Jinping administration’s adoption of a CB2C model reveals three things about the overall situation in China.

Personnel Watch: An Updated Two Sessions Forecast
◎ We present an updated personnel list based on analysis using our unique research methodology and risk assessment model.

Why Xi Jinping Removed China’s Presidential Term Limit
◎ We believe that the answer to why Xi removed term limits for the Chinese presidency can be found in an analysis of CCP factional struggle.

Leaner and Meaner: Why China’s Financial Oversight Agencies May be Merging
◎ Resolving risks in China’s financial sector is the Xi Jinping administration’s most urgent and important task of 2018.

China’s Five Strategies for Economic Expansion in the Digital Age
◎ The CCP appears to be simultaneously resolving China’s currency oversupply issue and seeking leadership in the digital currency while threatening the dollar’s dominance through five strategies.
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University
Deputy Director of the Centre for Geopolitics, Cambridge University